Option Country

The OC Model

The Option Country model's locked plays this week, plus the season record — overall and by week — against those numbers. ATS baseline is 52.4% at −110.

Read the weekly report card →

2026 season

ATS
208–83 (71.5%)
Straight up
184–109 (62.8%)
CLV
-53.26
113–36 ATS (75.8%)
95–47 ATS (66.9%)
—

By week

WkATSStraight upCLV
05–2 (71.4%)3–4 (42.9%)0.00
137–3–1 (92.5%)26–15 (63.4%)4.17
225–11 (69.4%)17–19 (47.2%)-3.52
319–11 (63.3%)15–15 (50.0%)-4.41
429–10 (74.4%)27–12 (69.2%)-10.25
519–10 (65.5%)18–11 (62.1%)-5.50
626–5 (83.9%)24–7 (77.4%)-1.25
717–13 (56.7%)20–10 (66.7%)-5.75
818–6 (75.0%)16–8 (66.7%)-11.00
913–12–1 (52.0%)18–8 (69.2%)-15.75

Week 10 plays

GameOur pickConfEdge

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State

Mississippi State -3.56.5 pts

South Alabama @ Louisiana

Louisiana -5.56.0 pts

Ball State @ Massachusetts

Massachusetts -4.55.5 pts

UL Monroe @ Arkansas State

Arkansas State -14.55.5 pts

Liberty @ New Mexico State

Liberty -13.54.5 pts

Texas A&M @ South Carolina

Texas A&M +7.04.0 pts

Ohio @ Akron

Ohio -12.53.5 pts

James Madison @ Southern Miss

James Madison -15.53.5 pts

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State

Kansas State +6.03.5 pts

Fresno State @ Utah State

Fresno State -2.53.5 pts

Oregon @ Ohio State

Ohio State -9.53.0 pts

Colorado @ Arizona State

Arizona State -3.53.0 pts

Graded leans

WkGameOur pickConfCloseATSCLV
0North Carolina +7.5+7.5Covered0.00
0San José State +37.5+37.5Covered0.00
0Virginia -4.0-4.0Covered0.00
0Jacksonville State +7.0+7.0Did not cover0.00
0Sacramento State +9.0+9.5Did not cover-0.25
0New Mexico State +31.5+31.0Covered0.50
0Memphis +4.5+5.0Covered-0.25
1Massachusetts +29.5+29.5Covered0.08
1Akron +27.5+27.5Covered0.00
1Colorado +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
1UAB +26.0+26.0Covered0.00
1San José State +1.5+1.5Covered0.00
1Oklahoma -40.5-41.0Covered0.08
1Toledo +10.0+10.0PPushed0.00
1Stanford +24.5+24.5Did not cover0.00
1USC -22.0-22.0Covered0.17
1East Carolina +28.5+28.5Did not cover0.25
1Oregon State +21.0+21.0Covered0.08
1Coastal Carolina +21.5+21.0Covered0.50
1North Texas +41.0+40.0Covered0.75
1Nebraska -23.5-24.0Covered0.08
1James Madison -6.0-6.0Covered0.00
1Pittsburgh -16.5-16.5Covered-0.08
1Ohio State -50.5-51.0Covered0.42
1South Carolina -36.0-36.0Covered0.17
1Baylor +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
1Texas -29.5-29.5Covered0.00
1Cincinnati -7.0-7.0Covered0.00
1Duke -9.0-9.0Covered-0.25
1Boise State +24.5+25.0Covered-0.08
1Penn State -23.5-23.5Covered-0.08
1Tulsa +13.5+13.5Covered0.08
1Iowa -31.5-32.0Covered0.08
1Colorado State -2.5-3.0Covered0.08
1Texas A&M -39.0-39.5Covered0.33
1Memphis -10.5-10.5Covered0.00
1Sam Houston +16.0+16.0Covered0.17
1LSU -10.0-10.0Covered0.00
1Mississippi State -28.5-28.5Covered0.00
1Western Michigan +27.5+27.5Covered0.00
1Florida -26.0-26.5Covered0.33
1UNLV -3.0-3.0Covered-0.08
1New Mexico -11.0-11.5Covered0.50
1California +2.5+2.5Did not cover0.00
1Nevada +0.5+0.5Covered0.42
1Washington State +23.5+23.5Covered0.25
1Louisville +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
1Notre Dame -21.0-21.0Covered-0.08
2Missouri -4.0-4.0Covered0.00
2Michigan +5.0+5.0Covered0.00
2Texas A&M -15.0-15.0Covered0.00
2Kansas State -17.5-17.5Covered0.00
2Oklahoma State +24.0+24.0Covered0.00
2Virginia Tech -17.5-17.5Covered0.00
2Temple +24.5+24.5Covered0.00
2App State +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
2Georgia -40.5-40.5Covered0.00
2Alabama -8.5-8.5Covered0.00
2Mississippi State +0.5+0.5Covered0.00
2BYU -7.0-7.0Covered0.00
2Syracuse -3.5-4.0Did not cover0.33
2Duke +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
2Michigan State -17.5-17.5Covered0.00
2Utah State +27.0+28.5Covered-1.50
2Rice +44.5+44.5Did not cover-0.17
2UTSA +1.5+2.0Covered-0.33
2UAB -10.0-9.5Did not cover-0.42
2UNLV -4.0-3.0Did not cover-0.92
2Delaware +20.5+20.5Covered0.00
2Buffalo +10.5+8.5Did not cover1.83
2Jacksonville State +1.5+1.5Did not cover0.00
2Nebraska -30.5-30.5Covered0.00
2Kennesaw State -8.5-7.5Did not cover-1.17
2Middle Tennessee +13.5+12.5Covered1.17
2San Diego State +10.0+13.5Did not cover-3.50
2Oregon State +25.5+25.5Covered0.00
2Georgia Southern +20.5+20.0Covered0.67
2Navy -5.0-4.5Did not cover-0.42
2Louisiana Tech +35.5+34.5Covered0.58
2Southern Miss +29.5+32.5Did not cover-3.17
2Charlotte +47.5+44.5Covered3.00
2Utah -13.0-13.0Covered0.00
2Sacramento State +18.5+18.0Did not cover0.42
2Louisiana +31.0+30.5Covered0.08
3Pittsburgh -10.5-10.5Covered0.00
3Wake Forest +20.5+20.5Covered0.00
3Tulane +20.5+20.5Covered0.00
3Iowa State -23.0-23.0Covered0.00
3Buffalo +39.5+39.5Did not cover-0.17
3North Texas +3.0+3.0Did not cover0.00
3Wisconsin -23.5-23.5Covered0.00
3Vanderbilt -3.0-3.0Covered0.00
3Central Michigan +1.5+1.5Covered0.00
3Texas A&M -15.5-16.5Did not cover1.00
3Cincinnati -15.5-14.5Did not cover-1.00
3Duke -10.0-9.5Covered-0.33
3Western Kentucky +45.0+44.5Covered0.08
3Liberty -14.5-14.5Covered0.00
3Louisiana Tech +20.0+20.0Covered-0.25
3South Carolina -3.5-3.0Did not cover-0.50
3Missouri State +4.0+4.0Did not cover0.00
3Troy +27.0+27.0Covered0.00
3UCF -18.5-17.5Did not cover-1.00
3Southern Miss +2.5+3.5Did not cover-1.00
3Western Michigan -9.0-8.5Did not cover-0.25
3Nevada -6.0-3.5Did not cover-2.33
3New Mexico +23.5+21.5Covered2.17
3Northwestern -3.5-3.5Covered0.00
3West Virginia +10.5+10.5Covered0.00
3Kennesaw State +34.5+35.5Covered-1.00
3Louisiana -7.5-7.0Did not cover-0.50
3James Madison +3.0+3.0Covered0.00
3Northern Illinois +35.5+34.5Covered1.00
3Fresno State -4.5-4.0Covered-0.33
4Liberty -2.5-2.5Covered0.00
4Clemson -2.5-2.5Covered0.00
4Sam Houston +35.0+34.5Did not cover0.25
4Baylor -8.5-8.5Covered0.00
4Wake Forest +11.5+11.5Covered0.00
4Toledo -3.0-3.0Covered0.00
4Colorado State +12.5+14.5Did not cover-1.75
4Maryland +2.5+2.5Did not cover0.00
4Georgia State -9.0-9.0Covered0.00
4Hawai'i -4.0-2.5Did not cover-1.75
4Florida -4.0-4.0Covered0.00
4Georgia -11.5-11.5Covered0.00
4
TCU13UCF21
UCF +3.5+3.5Covered0.00
4Utah -7.5-7.5Covered0.00
4Boise State -8.5-8.5Covered0.00
4New Mexico -12.5-11.5Covered-1.00
4Nebraska -6.0-6.0Covered0.00
4Penn State -11.5-10.0Did not cover-1.75
4South Florida -17.5-18.0Did not cover0.25
4Virginia -20.0-20.0Covered0.00
4James Madison -7.0-7.0Covered0.00
4Miami -41.5-41.5Covered0.00
4Louisiana -9.5-9.5Covered0.00
4Alabama -12.5-12.5Covered0.00
4Cincinnati +6.0+6.0Covered0.00
4Oklahoma State +1.5+1.5Covered0.00
4Southern Miss +18.0+18.0Covered0.00
4Jacksonville State -7.5-7.0Covered-0.25
4Texas A&M +5.5+8.5Did not cover-3.00
4Troy +3.0+3.0Did not cover0.00
4Tulsa +7.0+7.0Did not cover0.00
4Florida Atlantic -11.5-11.5Covered0.00
4Missouri State +30.5+30.5Covered0.00
4Oregon State -11.5-11.5Covered0.00
4Massachusetts -6.0-6.0Covered0.00
4Fresno State -12.5-12.5Covered-0.25
4Georgia Tech -3.5-3.0Did not cover-0.50
4Nevada +5.5+5.5Covered0.25
4Minnesota +11.5+12.5Covered-0.75
5Memphis -19.5-19.5Covered0.00
5Alabama -5.5-5.5Covered0.00
5Middle Tennessee +21.0+21.0Did not cover-0.25
5UCF +10.5+10.5Covered0.00
5Boston College +21.0+21.5Covered-0.50
5Wake Forest -14.5-14.5Covered0.00
5UConn +6.5+6.5Covered-0.25
5Buffalo +13.5+13.5Covered0.00
5Missouri +5.5+5.5Covered0.00
5North Dakota State -17.5-17.5Covered0.00
5Massachusetts -3.5-6.0Did not cover2.25
5Ohio -5.5-3.5Did not cover-2.00
5Miami (OH) -15.5-11.5Did not cover-4.25
5Georgia State -2.0-2.0Covered0.00
5James Madison -14.0-16.5Covered2.25
5Nebraska -13.5-15.0Covered1.50
5New Mexico -21.0-23.5Covered2.25
5Illinois -10.0-10.0Did not cover-0.25
5South Alabama -14.5-13.5Covered-1.25
5Texas Tech -13.5-13.5Covered0.00
5Miami -15.0-15.0Covered0.00
5USC -8.5-8.5Did not cover0.00
5South Florida -6.0-5.5Did not cover-0.25
5Army +0.5+0.5Did not cover0.00
5Louisiana -6.5-5.5Did not cover-1.00
5Fresno State +1.5+2.5Covered-0.75
5Baylor +3.5+3.5Covered0.00
5San Diego State +5.0+10.0Covered-4.75
5Cincinnati +8.5+7.0Did not cover1.75
6Liberty -13.5-13.5Covered0.00
6Western Kentucky +2.0+2.0Covered0.00
6South Florida +6.5+5.5Did not cover1.00
6Louisville -4.5-4.5Covered0.00
6Iowa +1.5+3.0Covered-1.50
6BYU -10.5-11.5Covered1.00
6Arizona -3.5-3.5Covered0.00
6Pittsburgh -4.0-3.5Did not cover-0.50
6Wake Forest -4.0-4.0Covered0.00
6Bowling Green -9.5-9.5Covered0.00
6Northwestern -35.0-35.0Did not cover0.00
6South Carolina +10.5+10.5Covered0.00
6East Carolina -10.0-10.0Covered0.00
6Massachusetts +6.0+6.0Covered0.00
6Texas -8.0-8.0Did not cover0.00
6Houston +2.5+2.5Covered0.00
6Notre Dame -40.0-40.0Covered0.00
6California +11.0+11.0Covered0.00
6Buffalo +19.0+19.0Covered0.00
6Ohio -3.5-2.5Covered-1.00
6Western Michigan -14.0-14.0Covered-0.25
6UConn +4.0+4.0Covered0.00
6San Diego State +14.0+14.5Did not cover-0.50
6Memphis -14.5-15.5Covered0.75
6Nevada -10.0-10.0Covered0.00
6Coastal Carolina +4.5+4.5Covered0.00
6Georgia +2.5+2.5Covered0.00
6Syracuse +14.0+14.0Covered0.00
6Air Force -7.5-7.0Covered-0.50
6Purdue +3.0+3.0Covered0.00
6Hawai'i +21.0+21.0Covered0.25
7East Carolina -5.0-5.5Did not cover0.50
7Colorado State +14.0+15.5Did not cover-1.25
7Washington +3.0+3.0Covered0.00
7Mississippi State +15.5+18.0Did not cover-2.50
7Cincinnati +2.0+1.5Did not cover0.25
7Kansas State -3.5-3.5Covered0.00
7Pittsburgh -6.5-6.5Did not cover0.00
7Virginia +9.5+10.0Did not cover-0.75
7Northwestern -7.5-7.5Did not cover-0.25
7Army -2.5-2.5Covered0.00
7James Madison -10.0-8.0Covered-2.25
7Temple -19.0-18.5Did not cover-0.50
7Massachusetts +6.5+7.0Did not cover-0.25
7Tennessee +8.0+8.0Covered0.00
7Texas Tech -14.5-16.0Covered1.50
7Air Force -0.5-0.5Covered0.00
7Miami (OH) -9.5-9.5Covered0.00
7Tulsa -4.0-4.0Covered0.00
7Louisiana -3.0-3.0Covered0.00
7South Florida -20.5-20.5Covered0.00
7BYU +10.5+10.5Covered0.00
7Houston -4.5-4.5Did not cover0.00
7Syracuse +14.5+14.5Covered0.00
7UCLA -2.0-2.0Covered0.00
7Louisiana Tech -14.5-14.5Covered0.00
7Ohio -16.5-16.5Covered0.00
7Utah -16.0-15.5Did not cover-0.50
7Wake Forest -10.0-10.0Covered0.00
7Fresno State -7.0-7.0Did not cover-0.25
7New Mexico -14.0-14.5Did not cover0.50
8Delaware -3.0-3.0Covered0.00
8Liberty -8.5-8.5Covered0.00
8LSU -7.0-7.0Covered0.00
8SMU -18.5-18.5Covered0.00
8Northwestern -15.5-15.5Covered0.25
8Baylor +1.5+1.5Covered0.00
8Tennessee +1.5+2.5Did not cover-1.25
8
BYU31UCF39
BYU -7.5-7.5Did not cover0.00
8Boston College +6.5+6.5Covered0.00
8Hawai'i -4.0-3.0Covered-0.75
8Sacramento State +14.5+14.5Did not cover0.00
8Buffalo -3.5-3.0Covered-0.50
8Kansas State -3.5-1.5Did not cover-2.00
8Troy -17.5-13.5Did not cover-4.00
8Nevada -6.0-6.0Covered0.00
8Boise State -14.0-15.0Covered0.75
8Oklahoma State -13.0-13.0Covered0.00
8Arkansas State +2.5+2.5Covered-0.25
8Kentucky -10.0-10.0Covered0.00
8Texas -6.5-3.0Covered-3.50
8Arizona -12.0-12.0Covered0.00
8Utah State +14.5+14.5Covered0.00
8Tulane +3.0+3.0Did not cover0.00
8New Mexico -4.5-5.0Covered0.25
9Jacksonville State -3.0-3.0Covered0.00
9Florida Atlantic +15.5+15.5Covered0.00
9James Madison -17.5-17.5Did not cover0.00
9Tulane -11.5-8.5Did not cover-3.25
9Sacramento State +7.5+7.5Covered0.00
9Duke -7.0-7.0Covered0.00
9Iowa -2.5-2.5Covered0.00
9Illinois -3.0-3.0PPushed-0.25
9South Florida -9.5-7.5Covered-2.00
9Western Michigan -14.0-14.0Did not cover0.00
9Rutgers +16.5+16.5Covered0.00
9Old Dominion +3.0+3.0Did not cover0.25
9Kansas State -2.5+3.0Did not cover-5.50
9East Carolina -4.5-4.5Covered0.00
9Louisville -21.0-23.0Covered1.75
9Indiana -22.5-20.5Did not cover-2.00
9Colorado State +8.0+8.5Did not cover-0.50
9North Dakota State -27.5-24.0Did not cover-3.75
9Liberty -14.0-14.0Covered0.00
9Southern Miss -3.0-3.5Covered0.50
9New Mexico -14.5-15.5Did not cover0.75
9Pittsburgh -7.0-8.5Covered1.50
9Miami -14.5-14.0Did not cover-0.75
9Ohio State -7.0-6.5Did not cover-0.75
9Nebraska -9.5-8.0Did not cover-1.75
9Fresno State +6.0+6.0Covered0.00