North Carolina Tar Heels
ACC · UNC · Bill Belichick 0–0
- SU
- 4–4
- ATS
- 5–3
- O/U
- 4–4
- SP+
- #58
Ratings
- SP+
- 3.7
- SP rank
- #58
- FPI
- 8.6
- Elo (pts)
- -0.6
- CORE
- 2.8
- WEPA
- 3.0
- SRS
- 7.9
- Off PPA
- 0.14
- Def PPA
- 0.07
Schedule & results
Consensus close. Click a result for the game page.
| Wk | Opponent | Series | Result | Line | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nTCU | 3–1 | W 15–10 | +7.5 / 46.5 | W | U |
| 2 | vsEast Tennessee State | — | W 35–3 | -36.0 / 55.5 | L | U |
| 3 | @Clemson | 18–40–1 | L 20–28 | +3.0 / 44.5 | L | O |
| 5 | vsNotre Dame | 2–21 | L 26–37 | +21.0 / 46.5 | W | O |
| 6 | @Pittsburgh | 12–6 | W 21–17 | +3.5 / 47.5 | W | U |
| 7 | @Duke | 63–38–4 | W 24–20 | +3.0 / 47.0 | W | U |
| 8 | vsSyracuse | 5–3 | L 30–31 | -8.5 / 49.5 | L | O |
| 9 | vsMiami | 16–11 | L 35–38 | +14.0 / 53.0 | W | O |
| 10 | @UConn | 3–1 | Nov 7 | -8.5 / 51.5 | — | — |
| 11 | vsLouisville | 3–5 | Nov 13 | — | — | — |
| 12 | @Virginia | 65–51–4 | Nov 20 | — | — | — |
| 13 | vsNC State | 60–41–5 | Nov 27 | +1.5 / 55.5 | — | — |
Betting trends
- Home ATS
- 2–2
- Away ATS
- 3–1
- Over lean
- 4–4
Option Country predictions vs North Carolina: 1–2 ATS · CLV -1.3
- W1 TCU · pick TCU-5.7 · W
- W3 Clemson · pick Clemson+1.4
- W5 Notre Dame · pick Notre Dame+1.0
- W6 Pittsburgh · pick Pittsburgh+3.1 · L
- W7 Duke · pick Duke+0.4
- W8 Syracuse · pick North Carolina+0.5
- W9 Miami · pick Miami-2.5 · L
- W10 UConn · pick North Carolina+1.4
SP+ trajectory
Season rating since 2014. 0 ≈ average FBS team.
Efficiency profile
Latest full season vs FBS — 100th percentile is best.
- Offense PPA13th · #119 of 136 (2025)
- Defense PPA43rd · #78 of 136 (2025)
- Offense success rate16th · #115 of 136 (2025)
- Defense success rate56th · #60 of 136 (2025)
- Offense explosiveness11th · #121 of 136 (2025)
- Defense explosiveness55th · #62 of 136 (2025)
Passing & adjusted
Air yards, depth of target, and opponent-adjusted EPA. 2026 season.
Billy Edwards
- Comp
- 31/48
- Cmp%
- 64.6%
- aDOT
- 9.3
- Air yards
- 447
- YAC
- 266
- INT
- 0
- Success
- 53.8%
- Adj. EPA
- —
Miles O'Neill
- Comp
- 3/6
- Cmp%
- 50.0%
- aDOT
- 5.7
- Air yards
- 34
- YAC
- 24
- INT
- 0
- Success
- —
- Adj. EPA
- —
Players
Roster, production, and the current recruiting cycle. Roster year 2026.
Returning production
32.5%of last season still on the roster (2025)
Player figures are last season's predicted points added (PPA).
- Added via transfer
- 20.2 PPA
- Lost via transfer
- 94.0 PPA
Back
2025 PPA- Jordan Shipp · WR49.2
- Demon June · RB13.2
- Au'Tori Newkirk · QB-5.6
- Benjamin Hall · RB-2.2
- Nathan Leacock · WR-1.4
- Charleston French · RB-1.0
- Jaylen McGill · RB0.9
- Shamar Easter · TE-0.7
In
2025 PPA- Trech Kekahuna · WR · Wisconsin7.7
- Jelani Thurman · TE · Ohio State6.6
- Jordan Washington · TE · Texas5.2
- Jaxxon Warren · TE · Colorado State3.8
- Kaleb Jackson · RB · LSU-3.2
- Billy Edwards Jr. · QB · Wisconsin2.6
- Miles O'Neill · QB · Texas A&M-2.5
- Ade Willie · DB · Michigan State—
Out
2025 PPA- Gio Lopez · QB · Wake Forest57.3
- Max Johnson · QB · Georgia Southern12.8
- Jake Johnson · TE · Auburn11.7
- Javarius Green · WR · Boston College6.8
- Davion Gause · RB · NC State2.0
- Chris Culliver · WR · Marshall1.6
- Connor Cox · TE · Virginia1.2
- Alex Taylor · WR · Georgia Southern0.6
Stat leaders
- Passing yardsBilly Edwards1871
- Passing yardsMiles O'Neill22
- Passing TDsBilly Edwards15
- Passing TDsMiles O'Neill0
- Rushing yardsBenjamin Hall296
- Rushing yardsDemon June289
- Rushing yardsJaylen McGill246
- Rushing TDsDemon June8
- Rushing TDsJaylen McGill2
- Rushing TDsBilly Edwards0
- Receiving yardsJordan Shipp587
- Receiving yardsJelani Thurman461
- Receiving yardsTrech Kekahuna219
- Receiving TDsJelani Thurman6
- Receiving TDsJordan Shipp3
- Receiving TDsShamar Easter2
- Total tacklesDerek Mcdonald82
- Total tacklesPeyton Seelmann73
- Total tacklesGregory Smith48
- SacksXavier Lewis7
- SacksPeyton Seelmann2.5
- SacksJaylen Harvey2
- Tackles for lossXavier Lewis10
- Tackles for lossJaylen Harvey6.5
- Tackles for lossPeyton Seelmann3
- InterceptionsGregory Smith3
- InterceptionsKenton Dopson III1
- InterceptionsTre Miller1
Player PPA
- Billy Edwards · QB66.7 · 0.243/play
- Jordan Shipp · WR50.4 · 0.916/play
- Demon June · RB26.8 · 0.348/play
- Jelani Thurman · TE22.3 · 0.377/play
- Shamar Easter · TE10.9 · 0.728/play
- Jaylen McGill · RB9.8 · 0.169/play
- C.J. Sadler · WR6.2 · 0.476/play
- Trech Kekahuna · WR5.2 · 0.180/play
- Miles O'Neill · QB2.9 · 0.409/play
- Zamaurious Robertson · WR1.6 · 1.609/play
Commits
- Brayden Booth · EDGE4★ #204
- Amare Patterson · WR4★ #213
- Hudson Ingalsbe · OT3★ #464
- Kaiden Robinson-Vickers · DL3★ #486
- Theo Wilson · LB3★ #506
- Chad Willis · WR3★ #598
- Aaron Williams · LB3★ #656
- Shavezz Dixon · IOL3★ #733
- Zykee Scott · LB3★ #753
- Tasheem Butler · LB3★ #753
- Trey Johnson · CB3★ #882
- Jaiden Lindsay · IOL3★ #921
- Anthony Williams · WR3★ #939
- Nazir Pitchford · CB3★ #1238
- Isaiah Stephens · RB3★ #1275
- Noah Spinks · QB3★ #1473
Roster
| # | Name | Pos | Class | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Smith III | DB | 1 | Riverview, FL |
| 2 | Kaleb Cost | DB | 1 | Atlanta, GA |
| 3 | Ade Willie | DB | 1 | Baltimore, MD |
| 4 | Jalon Thompson | DB | 1 | Orlando, FL |
| 6 | Tre Miller | DB | 1 | Birmingham, AL |
| 7 | Peyton Waters | DB | 1 | Northridge, CA |
| 16 | Coleman Bryson | DB | 1 | Waynesville, NC |
| 17 | Jakob Weatherspoon | DB | 1 | Avon, OH |
| 18 | Jaiden Patterson | DB | 1 | Dacula, GA |
| 19 | Reggie Love II | DB | 1 | Raleigh, NC |
| 20 | Xavier Jackson | DB | 1 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 21 | Kenton Dopson III | DB | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 23 | Khristian Dunbar-Hawkins | DB | 1 | Inland Empire, CA |
| 24 | Javion Butts | DB | 1 | Gray, GA |
| 27 | Graham Reintjes | DB | 1 | Austin, TX |
| 28 | Jamarrion Gordon | DB | 1 | Jackson, AL |
| 30 | Jaziel Hart | DB | 1 | Roanoke, VA |
| 31 | Julian Peterson | DB | 1 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 32 | Jermaine Anderson | DB | 1 | Fredericksburg, VA |
| 34 | David Davis | DB | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 38 | Julian Burns | DB | 1 | Monroe, LA |
| 0 | Isaiah Johnson | DL | 1 | Camden, NJ |
| 5 | Donovan Hoilette Jr. | DL | 1 | West Palm Beach, FL |
| 9 | Melkart Abou Jaoude | DL | 1 | Newton, NJ |
| 11 | Jaylen Harvey | DL | 1 | Gaithersburg, MD |
| 14 | Tarvorise Brown | DL | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 25 | Joseph Mupoyi | DL | 1 | Kinshasa |
| 29 | Zavion Griffin-Haynes | DL | 1 | Rolesville, NC |
| 56 | Viliami Moala | DL | 1 | West Valley City, UT |
| 88 | Vodney Cleveland | DL | 1 | Montgomery, AL |
| 89 | Emmanuel Nwaiwu | DL | 1 | Chateauguay, PQ |
| 90 | Xavier Lewis | DL | 1 | Raleigh, NC |
| 91 | Leroy Jackson | DL | 1 | Leesburg, GA |
| 92 | Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-Suliafu | DL | 1 | Hauula, HI |
| 93 | Trashawn Ruffin | DL | 1 | Calypso, NC |
| 94 | David Jackson III | DL | 1 | Washington, DC |
| 96 | Nicco Maggio | DL | 1 | Buford, GA |
| 97 | Trey Giddens | DL | 1 | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 47 | Henry Martello | FB | 1 | Culver, IN |
| 8 | Jonathan Agumadu | LB | 1 | Dallas, TX |
| 10 | Peyton Seelmann | LB | 1 | Mechanicsville, VA |
| 12 | Calvin Thomas | LB | 1 | Houston, TX |
| 15 | Derek McDonald | LB | 1 | Atlanta, GA |
| 26 | DQ Forkpa | LB | 1 | Plymouth, MN |
| 33 | Tyler Houser | LB | 1 | Sparta, NJ |
| 35 | Ashton Blatt | LB | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 36 | Jayden Griffin-Haynes | LB | 1 | Rolesville, NC |
| 42 | Jordan Avinger | LB | 1 | Orangeburg, SC |
| 43 | Lantz Pascal | LB | 1 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 44 | Jake Bauer | LB | 1 | West Chester, PA |
| 54 | Timir Hickman-Collins | LB | 1 | Fort Mill, SC |
| 95 | Daniel Anderson | LB | 1 | Memphis, TN |
| 40 | Roman Wazni | LS | 1 | Tampa, FL |
| 48 | Gannon Burt | LS | 1 | Fort Mill, SC |
| 51 | Peter Pesansky | OL | 1 | Tampa, FL |
| 52 | Rowan Byrne | OL | 1 | Bronxville, NY |
| 54 | Jonah Rodriguez | OL | 1 | San Diego, CA |
| 55 | Brandon Homady | OL | 1 | Cleveland, OH |
| 56 | Christo Kelly | OL | 1 | Wilmette, IL |
| 57 | Will Conroy | OL | 1 | Valley View, OH |
| 60 | Cristian Alvarez | OL | 1 | Woodcliff Lake, NJ |
| 65 | Zion Smith | OL | 1 | Townsend, DE |
| 66 | Jordan Hall | OL | 1 | Columbus, OH |
| 67 | Dujuan Davis | OL | 1 | Clearwater, FL |
| 68 | Aidan Banfield | OL | 1 | Buford, GA |
| 70 | Byron Nelson | OL | 1 | Katy, TX |
| 71 | Jacqawn McRoy | OL | 1 | Bessemer, AL |
| 72 | Eidan Buchanan | OL | 1 | Montgomery Village, MD |
| 73 | J.B. Shabazz | OL | 1 | Winston-Salem, NC |
| 74 | Nick Fiumara | OL | 1 | Foxborough, MA |
| 75 | Andrew Threatt | OL | 1 | Chesterfield, SC |
| 77 | Trey Blue | OL | 1 | Cary, NC |
| 79 | Anthony Hall | OL | 1 | Brookline, MA |
| 91 | Adam Mccann-Gibbs | P | 1 | Donegal |
| 93 | Jacob Horvath | P | 1 | Melbourne, VIC |
| 90 | Rece Verhoff | PK | 1 | Columbus Grove, OH |
| 92 | Aeron Burrell | PK | 1 | Bossier City, LA |
| 97 | David Green | PK | 1 | High Point, NC |
| 3 | Travis Burgess | QB | 1 | Grayson, GA |
| 8 | Miles O'Neill | QB | 1 | Marblehead, MA |
| 9 | Billy Edwards Jr. | QB | 1 | Springfield, VA |
| 10 | Au'Tori Newkirk | QB | 1 | Norfolk, VA |
| 15 | DJ Mazzone | QB | 1 | Atlanta, GA |
| 18 | Andres Miyares Jr. | QB | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 0 | Demon June | RB | 1 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 5 | Kaleb Jackson | RB | 1 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| 7 | Benjamin Hall | RB | 1 | Acworth, GA |
| 20 | Crew Davis | RB | 1 | Fairfield, CT |
| 23 | Charleston French | RB | 1 | Amory, MS |
| 26 | JoJo Troupe | RB | 1 | Tampa, FL |
| 27 | Jaylen McGill | RB | 1 | Spartanburg, SC |
| 19 | Jaxxon Warren | TE | 1 | Flower Mound, TX |
| 45 | Jelani Thurman | TE | 1 | Fairburn, GA |
| 80 | Jordan Washington | TE | 1 | Houston, TX |
| 84 | Shamar Easter | TE | 1 | Ashdown, AR |
| 85 | Dream Rashad | TE | 1 | Buford, GA |
| 87 | Carson Sneed | TE | 1 | Nashville, TN |
| 88 | Deems May | TE | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 1 | Jordan Shipp | WR | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 2 | Trech Kekahuna | WR | 1 | Honolulu, HI |
| 4 | Mason Humphrey | WR | 1 | Loganville, GA |
| 6 | Dayton Sneed | WR | 1 | Hermitage, TN |
| 11 | Nathan Leacock | WR | 1 | Rolesville, NC |
| 14 | C.J. Sadler | WR | 1 | Detroit, MI |
| 16 | Zamaurious Robertson | WR | 1 | Dillon, SC |
| 17 | Nyqir Helton | WR | 1 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 24 | Jaden Jefferson | WR | 1 | Oakland, CA |
| 81 | Kymistrii Young | WR | 1 | Parrish, FL |
| 82 | Keeyun Chapman | WR | 1 | Jackson, AL |
| 83 | Carnell Warren | WR | 1 | Bluffton, SC |
| 86 | Madrid Tucker | WR | 1 | Lehigh Acres, FL |
NFL draft
Recent picks out of North Carolina.
- 2025 Omarion Hampton · Running BackRd 1 · Los Angeles
- 2024 Drake Maye · QuarterbackRd 1 · New England
- 2024 Cedric Gray · LinebackerRd 4 · Tennessee
- 2024 Devontez Walker · Wide ReceiverRd 4 · Baltimore
- 2023 Josh Downs · Wide ReceiverRd 3 · Indianapolis
- 2023 Asim Richards · Offensive TackleRd 5 · Dallas
- 2023 Antoine Green · Wide ReceiverRd 7 · Detroit
- 2023 Raymond Vohasek · Defensive TackleRd 7 · Jacksonville
Recruiting classes
- 2026#19 · 247.7
- 2025#41 · 207.8
- 2024#26 · 228.8
- 2023#30 · 219.3
- 2022#11 · 258.5
- 2021#14 · 253.9
- 2020#19 · 246.7
- 2019#30 · 218.6
- 2018#20 · 232.3
- 2017#29 · 207.8
- 2016#32 · 204.8
- 2015#28 · 214.1
- 2014#30 · 213.6
For entertainment only — nothing here is betting advice, and no outcome is ever guaranteed. 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.