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No. 23 Duke Blue Devils

ACC · DUKE · Manny Diaz 0–0

SU
6–2
ATS
6–2
O/U
3–5
SP+
#47

Ratings

SP+
6.8
SP rank
#47
FPI
10.3
Elo (pts)
9.8
CORE
11.0
WEPA
8.4
SRS
7.1
Off PPA
0.24
Def PPA
-0.06

Schedule & results

Consensus close. Click a result for the game page.

WkOpponentSeriesResultLineATSO/U
1vsTulane3–3W 17–3-9.0 / 51.0WU
2@Illinois1–2W 31–27+6.5 / 51.5WO
3vsStanford1–3W 35–7-9.5 / 51.5WU
4vsWilliam & Mary1–5W 62–7-43.0 / 61.5WO
6@Georgia Tech35–56–1L 25–28-4.5 / 45.5LO
7vsNorth Carolina38–63–4L 20–24-3.0 / 47.0LU
8@Virginia34–40W 19–16+2.5 / 47.5WU
9vsBoston College4–5W 47–2-7.0 / 49.5WU
10@NC State44–37–5Nov 7-6.0 / 50.5——
11@Miami5–16Nov 13+21.0 / 55.5——
12vsClemson18–37–1Nov 20———
13@Wake Forest60–40–2Nov 27———

Betting trends

Home ATS
4–1
Away ATS
2–1
Over lean
3–5

Option Country predictions vs Duke: 4–0 ATS · CLV -0.6

  1. W1 Tulane · pick Duke+6.8 · W
  2. W2 Illinois · pick Illinois-4.8 · W
  3. W3 Stanford · pick Duke+9.0 · W
  4. W6 Georgia Tech · pick Duke-0.1
  5. W7 North Carolina · pick Duke+0.4
  6. W8 Virginia · pick Virginia-1.2
  7. W9 Boston College · pick Duke+7.6 · W
  8. W10 NC State · pick Duke+0.0

SP+ trajectory

Season rating since 2014. 0 ≈ average FBS team.

Efficiency profile

Latest full season vs FBS — 100th percentile is best.

  • Offense PPA82nd · #25 of 136 (2025)
  • Defense PPA15th · #116 of 136 (2025)
  • Offense success rate79th · #30 of 136 (2025)
  • Defense success rate28th · #98 of 136 (2025)
  • Offense explosiveness79th · #30 of 136 (2025)
  • Defense explosiveness12th · #120 of 136 (2025)

Passing & adjusted

Air yards, depth of target, and opponent-adjusted EPA. 2026 season.

Walker Eget

Comp
28/48
Cmp%
58.3%
aDOT
7.5
Air yards
346
YAC
215
INT
0
Success
42.6%
Adj. EPA
—

Dan Mahan

Comp
0/2
Cmp%
0.0%
aDOT
6.5
Air yards
13
YAC
—
INT
0
Success
0.0%
Adj. EPA
—

Players

Roster, production, and the current recruiting cycle. Roster year 2026.

Returning production

17.7%of last season still on the roster (2025)

Player figures are last season's predicted points added (PPA).

Added via transfer
180.5 PPA
Lost via transfer
312.7 PPA

Back

2025 PPA
  • Nate Sheppard · RB46.1
  • Jeremiah Hasley · TE41.9
  • Jayden Moore · WR2.5
  • Jake Taylor · TE-1.6
  • Andrew Pellicciotta · S—
  • Asher Wasserman · LB—
  • Ashton Zamani · PK—
  • Bariate Kara · DT—

In

2025 PPA
  • Walker Eget · QB · San José State122.6
  • Javen Nicholas · WR · Charlotte43.4
  • Nate Kurisky · TE · Louisville9.0
  • CJ Campbell Jr. · RB · Rutgers5.5
  • Ari Patu · QB · North Alabama—
  • Blaine Hipa · QB · Princeton—
  • Braden Miller · OL · California—
  • Che Ojarikre · CB · Stanford—

Out

2025 PPA
  • Darian Mensah · QB · Miami204.7
  • Cooper Barkate · WR · Miami67.1
  • Que'Sean Brown · WR · Virginia Tech32.1
  • Chase Tyler · WR · Wake Forest5.6
  • Peyton Jones · RB · Liberty3.3
  • Henry Belin IV · QB · Missouri State-0.1
  • Da'Vontae Floyd · DB · Florida International—
  • Desmond Aladuge · DT · UConn—

Stat leaders

  • Passing yardsWalker Eget1641
  • Passing yardsDan Mahan175
  • Passing yardsTerry Walker III44
  • Passing TDsWalker Eget9
  • Passing TDsDan Mahan3
  • Passing TDsNate Sheppard1
  • Rushing yardsNate Sheppard972
  • Rushing yardsCJ Campbell284
  • Rushing yardsJayvian Tanelus136
  • Rushing TDsNate Sheppard14
  • Rushing TDsJayvian Tanelus2
  • Rushing TDsCJ Givers1
  • Receiving yardsJeremiah Hasley305
  • Receiving yardsNate Sheppard302
  • Receiving yardsJonah Burton299
  • Receiving TDsNate Sheppard4
  • Receiving TDsBrody Keefe2
  • Receiving TDsJared Richardson2
  • Total tacklesNick Morris Jr.45
  • Total tacklesDaShawn Stone39
  • Total tacklesLuke Mergott33
  • SacksKevin O'Connor4.5
  • SacksBradley Gompers4
  • SacksTyshon Reed3
  • Tackles for lossTyshon Reed7
  • Tackles for lossBradley Gompers5.5
  • Tackles for lossBryce Davis5
  • InterceptionsEvan Smith1
  • InterceptionsPatrick Smith1

Player PPA

  1. Walker Eget · QB76.3 · 0.342/play
  2. Nate Sheppard · RB72.5 · 0.354/play
  3. Jeremiah Hasley · TE20.1 · 0.468/play
  4. Jonah Burton · WR17.5 · 0.546/play
  5. Jared Richardson · WR14.2 · 0.506/play
  6. Jaivon Solomon · WR13.7 · 0.723/play
  7. Kavon Simmons · WR8.9 · 0.592/play
  8. Jayvian Tanelus · RB8.7 · 0.412/play
  9. Brody Keefe · WR5.7 · 0.571/play
  10. CJ Givers · RB3.6 · 1.209/play

Commits

  • Parker Newman · TE4★ #321
  • King Kalama · DL3★ #506
  • Adriel Rojas · EDGE3★ #554
  • Jonathan Dillon · WR3★ #656
  • Lance Henderson · ATH3★ #656
  • Alex Patton · CB3★ #753
  • Jack Baker · LB3★ #805
  • Stephan Hicks Jr. · IOL3★ #805
  • Gavin Milton · OT3★ #852
  • Javarris Warner · RB3★ #882
  • Elijah Burns-Crump · S3★ #882
  • Aidan McPherson · QB3★ #882
  • Kasen Jammer · CB3★ #944
  • Tripp Keller · LB3★ #993
  • Tyler Graham · OT3★ #1065
  • DJ Waluyn · S3★ #1065

Roster

#NamePosClassHometown
0Dylan FlowersCB1Playa Del Rey, CA
1Kyon LoudCB1Richmond, CA
3Landan CallahanCB1Rural Hall, NC
4Evan SmithCB1Birmingham, AL
5Kimari RobinsonCB1Miramar, FL
9Che OjarikreCB1Alpharetta, GA
23Kolbe HarmonCB1Brentwood, TN
26Tyson SanfordCB1Suwanee, GA
28Kaleb LanierCB1Decatur, GA
10Tyshon ReedDE1Moultrie, GA
12Bryce DavisDE1Greensboro, NC
13Obinna UmehDE1Houston, TX
15Kevin O'ConnorDE1Easton, MD
18Kobe SmithDE1Chattanooga, TN
43Semaj TurnerDE1Winston-Salem, NC
90Tommy RupleyDE1Acton, MA
93Sampson OnuohaDE1London
98Jaylen CarlDE1High Point, NC
44David AndersonDT1Hampton, VA
50Chadwicke Cannon Jr.DT1Port Orange, FL
55Julius ColumbusDT1Gainesville, GA
88Bariate KaraDT1Loganville, GA
91Owen WafleDT1Middletown, NJ
95Preston WatsonDT1Lake Mary, FL
97Ayden CainDT1Gainesville, GA
99Dakota QuinonezDT1Moore, SC
7Nick Morris Jr.LB1Austin, TX
11Derrick Brown Jr.LB1Waxhaw, NC
19Jon MorrisLB1Fairfield, CT
24Bradley GompersLB1Pittsburgh, PA
30Will Felder Jr.LB1Willingboro, NJ
31Elliott SchaperLB1Austin, TX
32Tony GrimmerLB1Alpine, UT
33Colsen GattenLB1Pittsburgh, PA
34Luke MergottLB1Berlin, MD
40Asher WassermanLB1Hamden, CT
42Kendall JohnsonLB1Gaithersburg, MD
27Jack YatesLS1Hudson, MA
49Jack RoniloLS1Birmingham, AL
52Jake FitzgeraldLS1La Canada, CA
54Daniel BoydOL1Las Vegas, NV
55Ryan DalyOL1Venice, FL
56Nick Del GrandeOL1Lancaster, PA
60Sean StoverOL1Prosper, TX
62Cole AllenOL1Jackson, MS
63Bradley SmithOL1Newnan, GA
64Jordan LarsenOL1Harrisburg, SD
65Kai JacobowitzOL1Carlsbad, CA
66Caleb DorrisOL1White House, TN
71Jamin BrownOL1Gadsden, AL
72Matt CraycraftOL1Dallas, TX
74Reagan McCranieOL1Rutherfordton, NC
75Micah SahakianOL1Mount Prospect, IL
76Gemyel AllenOL1Buford, GA
77Braden MillerOL1Aurora, CO
78Nathan KutufarisOL1Springfield, PA
79Roman FinaOL1Tucson, AZ
41Kade ReynoldsonP1Queensland, QLD
25Gavin StrangePK1Southlake, TX
31Mika LevyPK1Mclean, VA
38Ashton ZamaniPK1Hidden Hills, CA
39Cosme SalasPK1Miami, FL
2Walker EgetQB1Santa Clarita, CA
10Dan MahanQB1Burlington, NC
11Ari PatuQB1Folsom, CA
12Blaine HipaQB1Kailua, HI
13Terry Walker IIIQB1Indianapolis, IN
16Lawrence GardnerQB1Dallas, TX
0CJ Campbell Jr.RB1Kaplan, LA
20Nate SheppardRB1Mandeville, LA
22Jayvian TanelusRB1Naples, FL
24Wilhelm Daal IIRB1Amityville, NY
26CJ GiversRB1Roswell, GA
28Cole DensonRB1Rye, NY
83Paul Holyfield Jr.RB1Los Angeles, CA
2Patrick Smith-YoungS1Sugar Land, TX
6Leon Griffin IIIS1Virginia Beach, VA
8DaShawn StoneS1Asheville, NC
21KD CottonS1Charlotte, NC
29Brady WinterS1New York, NY
35Andrew PellicciottaS1Malvern, PA
37Lyrik PettisS1Shelby, NC
15Jake TaylorTE1Apex, NC
44Nate KuriskyTE1Leesburg, VA
46Tony BoggsTE1Wartrace, TN
80Benjamin MoseleyTE1Centre, AL
81Brett ElliottTE1Holliston, MA
84Jack GaskinsTE1Mclean, VA
85Jeremiah HasleyTE1Gibsonia, PA
1Jamien LittleWR1Hickory, NC
3Blake RohrerWR1Woodbury, MN
4Jaivon SolomonWR1Gray, GA
5Javen NicholasWR1New Orleans, LA
6Jonah BurtonWR1Simi Valley, CA
7Kavon SimmonsWR1Wake Forest, NC
8Jayden MooreWR1Sykesville, MD
9Kavon ConciauroWR1Reidsville, GA
17Jared RichardsonWR1Blakeslee, PA
18Brody KeefeWR1Charlotte, NC
21Qeanu JohnsonWR1Hamden, CT
88Paxon KetteringWR1Bend, OR
89Jackson MaggioreWR1San Diego, CA

NFL draft

Recent picks out of Duke.

  1. 2026 Wesley Williams · Defensive EdgeRd 4 · Jacksonville
  2. 2026 Chandler Rivers · CornerbackRd 5 · Baltimore
  3. 2026 Brian Parker II · CenterRd 6 · Cincinnati
  4. 2024 Graham Barton · CenterRd 1 · Tampa Bay
  5. 2024 DeWayne Carter · Defensive TackleRd 3 · Buffalo
  6. 2024 Jacob Monk · CenterRd 5 · Green Bay

Recruiting classes

  1. 2026#71 · 189.3
  2. 2025#30 · 220.9
  3. 2024#61 · 183.9
  4. 2023#56 · 191.8
  5. 2022#52 · 186.8
  6. 2021#58 · 176.2
  7. 2020#61 · 171.7
  8. 2019#49 · 191.4
  9. 2018#63 · 176.8
  10. 2017#47 · 184.5
  11. 2016#33 · 204.7
  12. 2015#52 · 175.8
  13. 2014#61 · 166.3

For entertainment only — nothing here is betting advice, and no outcome is ever guaranteed. 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.