NC State Wolfpack
ACC · NCSU · Dave Doeren 0–0
- SU
- 4–4
- ATS
- 3–5
- O/U
- 5–3
- SP+
- #74
Ratings
- SP+
- -0.9
- SP rank
- #74
- FPI
- 1.1
- Elo (pts)
- -0.3
- CORE
- -8.1
- WEPA
- -5.6
- SRS
- -1.2
- Off PPA
- 0.20
- Def PPA
- 0.14
Schedule & results
Consensus close. Click a result for the game page.
| Wk | Opponent | Series | Result | Line | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Virginia | 38–22 | L 8–34 | +4.0 / 50.5 | L | U |
| 2 | vsRichmond | 14–1 | W 73–0 | -33.5 / 50.5 | W | O |
| 3 | @Vanderbilt | 1–2 | L 31–35 | +3.0 / 50.5 | L | O |
| 4 | vsApp State | 6–0 | W 41–31 | -13.0 / 56.5 | L | O |
| 5 | vsLouisville | 4–9 | W 31–28 | +4.5 / 57.0 | W | O |
| 6 | vsWake Forest | 70–43–5 | L 14–38 | +4.0 / 56.5 | L | U |
| 8 | @Stanford | 1–0 | L 28–31 | -7.5 / 54.5 | L | O |
| 9 | vsCalifornia | 1–0 | W 31–10 | -9.5 / 56.5 | W | U |
| 10 | vsDuke | 37–44–5 | Nov 7 | +6.0 / 50.5 | — | — |
| 11 | vsSyracuse | 13–4 | Nov 13 | — | — | — |
| 12 | @Florida State | 17–27 | Nov 20 | — | — | — |
| 13 | @North Carolina | 41–60–5 | Nov 27 | -1.5 / 55.5 | — | — |
Betting trends
- Home ATS
- 3–2
- Away ATS
- 0–3
- Over lean
- 5–3
Option Country predictions vs NC State: 3–0 ATS
- W1 Virginia · pick Virginia+4.9 · W
- W3 Vanderbilt · pick Vanderbilt+4.0 · W
- W4 App State · pick NC State-2.0
- W5 Louisville · pick Louisville+0.4
- W6 Wake Forest · pick Wake Forest-5.9 · W
- W8 Stanford · pick NC State+0.2
- W9 California · pick NC State+0.9
- W10 Duke · pick Duke+0.0
SP+ trajectory
Season rating since 2014. 0 ≈ average FBS team.
Efficiency profile
Latest full season vs FBS — 100th percentile is best.
- Offense PPA86th · #20 of 136 (2025)
- Defense PPA25th · #102 of 136 (2025)
- Offense success rate64th · #50 of 136 (2025)
- Defense success rate72nd · #39 of 136 (2025)
- Offense explosiveness91st · #13 of 136 (2025)
- Defense explosiveness2nd · #134 of 136 (2025)
Passing & adjusted
Air yards, depth of target, and opponent-adjusted EPA. 2026 season.
CJ Bailey
- Comp
- 25/41
- Cmp%
- 61.0%
- aDOT
- 10.9
- Air yards
- 434
- YAC
- 171
- INT
- 1
- Success
- 50.0%
- Adj. EPA
- —
Will Wilson
- Comp
- 7/10
- Cmp%
- 70.0%
- aDOT
- 3.5
- Air yards
- 35
- YAC
- 12
- INT
- 0
- Success
- —
- Adj. EPA
- —
Players
Roster, production, and the current recruiting cycle. Roster year 2026.
Returning production
62.5%of last season still on the roster (2025)
Player figures are last season's predicted points added (PPA).
- Added via transfer
- 134.2 PPA
- Lost via transfer
- 79.5 PPA
Back
2025 PPA- CJ Bailey · QB178.7
- Will Wilson · QB34.5
- Teddy Hoffmann · WR24.2
- Keenan Jackson · WR10.2
- Jayden Scott · RB10.1
- Preston Douglas · TE4.5
- Ethan Dowdy · WR3.0
- Ashton Locklear · WR-1.8
In
2025 PPA- Victor Snow · WR · Buffalo61.0
- Davion Dozier · WR · App State35.9
- Tad Hudson · QB · Coastal Carolina29.5
- Joshisa Trader · WR · Miami5.8
- Davion Gause · RB · North Carolina2.0
- Chance Robinson · WR · Miami—
- Da'Kaari Nelson · LB · Penn State—
- Daniel Cruz · OL · Texas—
Out
2025 PPA- Terrell Anderson · WR · USC46.7
- Noah Rogers · WR · Alabama31.0
- Hollywood Smothers · RB · Texas1.7
- Griffin Reimer · TE · Western Kentucky1.6
- Tank Boston · WR · Charlotte-1.5
- Blair Alexander · DT · Western Michigan—
- Brock Stukes · OL · Sam Houston—
- Charlie Birtwistle · PK · Charlotte—
Stat leaders
- Passing yardsCJ Bailey1955
- Passing yardsWill Wilson35
- Passing yardsJoshisa Trader5
- Passing TDsCJ Bailey13
- Passing TDsWill Wilson2
- Passing TDsJoshisa Trader0
- Rushing yardsJayden Scott358
- Rushing yardsDavion Gause352
- Rushing yardsWill Wilson179
- Rushing TDsWill Wilson8
- Rushing TDsJayden Scott4
- Rushing TDsDavion Gause2
- Receiving yardsKeenan Jackson456
- Receiving yardsPreston Douglas304
- Receiving yardsJoshisa Trader221
- Receiving TDsKeenan Jackson6
- Receiving TDsDeandre Desinor2
- Receiving TDsChance Robinson2
- Total tacklesRaul Aguirre Jr.77
- Total tacklesBrian Nelson II35
- Total tacklesRonnie Royal III33
- SacksElijah Satchell4
- SacksHarvey Dyson III1.5
- SacksChase Bond1.5
- Tackles for lossElijah Satchell5
- Tackles for lossRaul Aguirre Jr.4
- Tackles for lossHarvey Dyson III3.5
- InterceptionsJaren Sensabaugh2
- InterceptionsJackson Vick1
- InterceptionsBrody Barnhardt1
Player PPA
- CJ Bailey · QB89.6 · 0.295/play
- Keenan Jackson · WR33.8 · 0.734/play
- Will Wilson · QB22.5 · 0.389/play
- Preston Douglas · TE22.4 · 0.658/play
- Joshisa Trader · WR16.9 · 0.602/play
- Deandre Desinor · RB11.1 · 0.924/play
- Chance Robinson · WR10.6 · 0.530/play
- Davion Gause · RB7.9 · 0.072/play
- Hunter Provience · TE7.5 · 0.580/play
- Victor Snow · WR6.5 · 0.208/play
Commits
- Gunner Rivers · QB4★ #139
- KJ Caldwell · S4★ #140
- Jacob Burns · OT3★ #629
- Akedran Crumel · CB3★ #656
- Conner Rutherford · OT3★ #705
- Jadell Carter · EDGE3★ #733
- Alex Scott · S3★ #733
- Landon Williams · WR3★ #753
- Bryson Hurt · IOL3★ #805
- Christian Freeman · RB3★ #882
- Amir Moore · DL3★ #882
- Khy'lieb Rodriguez · WR3★ #939
- Tre Warren III · IOL3★ #1065
- Griffin Cockerham · TE3★ #1097
- Jake Godfree · LB3★ #1166
- Julius LaRosa III · DL3★ #1351
Roster
| # | Name | Pos | Class | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Jamel Johnson | CB | 1 | Covington, GA |
| 6 | Asaad Brown Jr. | CB | 1 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 7 | Brian Nelson II | CB | 1 | Pearland, TX |
| 8 | Isaiah Crowell | CB | 1 | Kernersville, NC |
| 12 | Caden Gordon | CB | 1 | Lake Worth, FL |
| 14 | Jaren Sensabaugh | CB | 1 | Nashville, TN |
| 22 | Jackson Vick | CB | 1 | Bailey, NC |
| 24 | Michael Tate | CB | 1 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 26 | Jordyn Best | CB | 1 | Hopkins, SC |
| 27 | Cam Strong | CB | 1 | Anderson, SC |
| 28 | Dy'Lan Johnson | CB | 1 | Baldwyn, MS |
| 30 | Jordan Jackson | CB | 1 | Winter Park, FL |
| 38 | DJ Dillard | CB | 1 | Collinsville, VA |
| 10 | Ty White | DB | 1 | Buford, GA |
| 20 | Ondre Evans | DB | 1 | Franklin, TN |
| 13 | Joseph Adedire | DE | 1 | Arlington, TX |
| 92 | Chase Bond | DE | 1 | Massillon, OH |
| 95 | JJ Ferguson Jr. | DE | 1 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 47 | Adrian Farrow | DL | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 55 | Katron Evans | DL | 1 | Norfolk, VA |
| 90 | Josiah Victor | DL | 1 | Loganville, GA |
| 99 | AJ Prim | DL | 1 | Foley, AL |
| 34 | Colby Cronk | DT | 1 | Palm Coast, FL |
| 57 | Steven Stokes III | DT | 1 | Wilmington, NC |
| 80 | Damaad Lewis | DT | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 88 | Isaiah Shirley | DT | 1 | Boone, NC |
| 98 | Fabian Kimbrough | DT | 1 | Stephens City, VA |
| 0 | Popo Aguirre | LB | 1 | Fayetteville, GA |
| 5 | Harvey Dyson III | LB | 1 | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 8 | Da'Kaari Nelson | LB | 1 | Livingston, AL |
| 15 | AJ Richardson | LB | 1 | Kings Mountain, NC |
| 19 | Cole Wilson | LB | 1 | Fayetteville, NC |
| 25 | Sterling Dixon | LB | 1 | Spanish Fort, AL |
| 30 | Zane Williams | LB | 1 | Wake Forest, NC |
| 31 | Bailey Benson | LB | 1 | Covington, GA |
| 32 | Caleb Gordon | LB | 1 | Gastonia, NC |
| 33 | Nathan Huffman | LB | 1 | Apex, NC |
| 33 | Ziggy Moore | LB | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 35 | LaCorian Hodge | LB | 1 | Arlington, TX |
| 37 | Lawrence Brown Jr. | LB | 1 | Grayson, GA |
| 38 | Logan Foust | LB | 1 | Graham, NC |
| 42 | Ke'Von Carter | LB | 1 | San Antonio, TX |
| 43 | Koby Sarkodie | LB | 1 | Baltimore, MD |
| 44 | Jordan Moreta | LB | 1 | Union City, NJ |
| 45 | Isaac Peters | LB | 1 | Lake Mary, FL |
| 46 | Ryan Klimp | LB | 1 | |
| 47 | Jackson Mastor | LB | 1 | Mooresville, NC |
| 48 | Hunter Jackson | LB | 1 | Raleigh, NC |
| 52 | David Collins | LB | 1 | Wilmington, NC |
| 53 | Josh Warren Jr. | LB | 1 | Belle Glade, FL |
| 58 | Elijah Satchell | LB | 1 | Camden, NJ |
| 60 | Taylon Tranel | LS | 1 | Cameron, NC |
| 92 | Aiden Arias | LS | 1 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 50 | Daniel Cruz | OL | 1 | North Richland Hills, TX |
| 52 | Kage Payne | OL | 1 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 53 | Keoni Riley | OL | 1 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 53 | Matthew Clay | OL | 1 | Raleigh, NC |
| 54 | Teague Andersen | OL | 1 | Lehi, UT |
| 55 | Rylan Vann | OL | 1 | Cary, NC |
| 56 | Omarian Abraham | OL | 1 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 60 | Joseph Castaneda | OL | 1 | Raeford, NC |
| 62 | Jimarion McCrimon | OL | 1 | Kissimmee, FL |
| 64 | Rico Jackson | OL | 1 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 67 | Henri Paris | OL | 1 | Kinston, NC |
| 70 | TK Whitset | OL | 1 | Antioch, TN |
| 71 | Yousef Mugharbil | OL | 1 | Murphy, NC |
| 72 | Spike Sowells Jr. | OL | 1 | Louisville, KY |
| 75 | Tre Aiken | OL | 1 | Clinton, SC |
| 76 | Michael Gibbs | OL | 1 | Wilmington, NC |
| 78 | Trent Mitchell | OL | 1 | Gastonia, NC |
| 93 | Carmelo McKenzie | OL | 1 | York, PA |
| 56 | Brody Smith | OT | 1 | Knoxville, TN |
| 73 | Brady Sakowitz | OT | 1 | Richmond, VA |
| 79 | Kamen Smith | OT | 1 | Wilkesboro, NC |
| 96 | Jackson Waller | P | 1 | Katy, TX |
| 97 | Cristian Harthan | P | 1 | Waxhaw, NC |
| 91 | Nick Konieczynski | PK | 1 | Matthews, NC |
| 94 | Kanoah Vinesett | PK | 1 | Rock Hill, SC |
| 98 | Drew Lovelace | PK | 1 | |
| 10 | Will Wilson | QB | 1 | Columbia, SC |
| 11 | CJ Bailey | QB | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 12 | Tad Hudson | QB | 1 | Huntersville, NC |
| 15 | Hudson Wilharm | QB | 1 | Wilmington, NC |
| 16 | Parker Thompson | QB | 1 | Dallas, TX |
| 1 | Jayden Scott | RB | 1 | Stockbridge, GA |
| 7 | Davion Gause | RB | 1 | Opa Locka, FL |
| 14 | Jonathan Paylor | RB | 1 | Burlington, NC |
| 20 | Deandre Desinor | RB | 1 | Delray Beach, FL |
| 24 | Dylan McCoy | RB | 1 | Grayson, GA |
| 25 | Darius Johnson | RB | 1 | Hendersonville, TN |
| 26 | Isiah Jones | RB | 1 | Rolesville, NC |
| 29 | RJ Boyd | RB | 1 | Waycross, GA |
| 34 | Noah Moss | RB | 1 | Daphne, AL |
| 2 | Ronnie Royal III | S | 1 | Gulf Shores, AL |
| 3 | Tristan Teasdell | S | 1 | Leesburg, VA |
| 4 | King Mack | S | 1 | Miami, FL |
| 16 | Pluto Surratt | S | 1 | Shelby, NC |
| 21 | Chino Aguirre | S | 1 | Locust Grove, GA |
| 29 | Brody Barnhardt | S | 1 | Cornelius, NC |
| 36 | Tristen Hill | S | 1 | Lawrenceville, GA |
| 39 | Tristan Clapp | S | 1 | Concord, NC |
| 49 | Hampton Roderick | S | 1 | Wilmington, NC |
| 4 | Vander Ploog | TE | 1 | Fullerton, CA |
| 19 | Preston Douglas | TE | 1 | Jupiter, FL |
| 44 | Gus Ritchey | TE | 1 | Pittsboro, NC |
| 45 | Tex Vaughn | TE | 1 | Kings Mountain, NC |
| 84 | Stephen Brown | TE | 1 | Chicago, IL |
| 86 | Hunter Provience | TE | 1 | San Diego, CA |
| 87 | Ian Flynt | TE | 1 | Katy, TX |
| 0 | Victor Snow | WR | 1 | Webster, NY |
| 2 | Joshisa Trader | WR | 1 | Hollywood, FL |
| 5 | Davion Dozier | WR | 1 | Moody, AL |
| 6 | Ashton Locklear | WR | 1 | Apex, NC |
| 8 | Keenan Jackson | WR | 1 | Waxhaw, NC |
| 12 | Teddy Hoffmann | WR | 1 | Delray Beach, FL |
| 13 | Tyran Warren | WR | 1 | Picayune, MS |
| 21 | Je'rel Bolder | WR | 1 | Wingate, NC |
| 22 | Aiden Smalls | WR | 1 | Clayton, NC |
| 28 | Sam Dodd | WR | 1 | Raleigh, NC |
| 35 | Jason Schutt | WR | 1 | Mooresville, NC |
| 36 | Cameron Cornthwaite | WR | 1 | Apex, NC |
| 37 | Addison Carlson | WR | 1 | Holly Springs, NC |
| 39 | Landon Thompson | WR | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 80 | Ethan Dowdy | WR | 1 | Powhatan, VA |
| 82 | Chance Robinson | WR | 1 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 83 | Amiri Acker | WR | 1 | Iva, SC |
| 85 | Tyreek Copper | WR | 1 | Kinston, NC |
| 89 | Jai Richburg | WR | 1 | Winston-Salem, NC |
NFL draft
Recent picks out of NC State.
- 2026 Justin Joly · Tight EndRd 5 · Denver
- 2026 Brandon Cleveland · Defensive TackleRd 7 · Las Vegas
- 2025 Anthony Belton · Offensive TackleRd 2 · Green Bay
- 2024 Payton Wilson · LinebackerRd 3 · Pittsburgh
- 2024 Dylan McMahon · Offensive GuardRd 6 · Philadelphia
- 2023 Chandler Zavala · Offensive GuardRd 4 · Carolina
- 2022 Ikem Ekwonu · Offensive TackleRd 1 · Carolina
- 2022 Trenton Gill · PunterRd 7 · Chicago
Recruiting classes
- 2026#49 · 210.3
- 2025#34 · 214.3
- 2024#27 · 225.0
- 2023#43 · 204.1
- 2022#64 · 171.3
- 2021#34 · 202.4
- 2020#41 · 194.8
- 2019#31 · 217.3
- 2018#26 · 220.6
- 2017#53 · 180.5
- 2016#50 · 177.7
- 2015#31 · 208.7
- 2014#34 · 201.3
For entertainment only — nothing here is betting advice, and no outcome is ever guaranteed. 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.