Buffalo Bulls
Mid-American · BUF · Pete Lembo 0–0
- SU
- 5–3
- ATS
- 4–4
- O/U
- 4–3–1
- SP+
- #118
Ratings
- SP+
- -12
- SP rank
- #118
- FPI
- -13.2
- Elo (pts)
- -5.5
- CORE
- -14.9
- WEPA
- -5.4
- SRS
- -14.6
- Off PPA
- 0.04
- Def PPA
- 0.09
Schedule & results
Consensus close. Click a result for the game page.
| Wk | Opponent | Series | Result | Line | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUAlbany | 1–1 | W 21–17 | -18.5 / 47.5 | L | U |
| 2 | @Florida International | — | L 20–33 | +9.0 / 47.5 | L | O |
| 3 | @Penn State | 1–3 | L 13–55 | +39.5 / 48.5 | L | O |
| 4 | vsRobert Morris | 1–0 | W 31–28 | -28.0 / 46.5 | L | O |
| 5 | vsWestern Michigan | 2–9 | L 17–20 | +13.5 / 46.5 | W | U |
| 6 | @Toledo | 5–6 | W 23–8 | +19.0 / 55.0 | W | U |
| 7 | vsMassachusetts | 10–2 | W 25–18 | -7.0 / 43.0 | W | P |
| 8 | vsBowling Green | 9–13 | W 31–24 | -3.0 / 45.0 | W | O |
| 10 | @Miami (OH) | 9–17 | Nov 3 | +6.5 / 44.5 | — | — |
| 11 | @Ball State | 3–11 | Nov 10 | — | — | — |
| 12 | vsCentral Michigan | 4–9 | Nov 17 | — | — | — |
| 13 | @Akron | 13–12 | Nov 27 | — | — | — |
Betting trends
- Home ATS
- 3–2
- Away ATS
- 1–2
- Over lean
- 4–3
Option Country predictions vs Buffalo: 3–3 ATS · CLV +0.9
- W2 Florida International · pick Florida International-1.9 · L
- W3 Penn State · pick Penn State-2.1 · L
- W5 Western Michigan · pick Western Michigan+4.1 · W
- W6 Toledo · pick Toledo-6.4 · W
- W7 Massachusetts · pick Buffalo-5.2 · L
- W8 Bowling Green · pick Buffalo+5.1 · W
- W10 Miami (OH) · pick Miami (OH)+1.3
SP+ trajectory
Season rating since 2014. 0 ≈ average FBS team.
Efficiency profile
Latest full season vs FBS — 100th percentile is best.
- Offense PPA15th · #116 of 136 (2025)
- Defense PPA64th · #49 of 136 (2025)
- Offense success rate20th · #109 of 136 (2025)
- Defense success rate75th · #35 of 136 (2025)
- Offense explosiveness24th · #104 of 136 (2025)
- Defense explosiveness59th · #56 of 136 (2025)
Passing & adjusted
Air yards, depth of target, and opponent-adjusted EPA. 2026 season.
Elijah Holmes
- Comp
- 36/62
- Cmp%
- 58.1%
- aDOT
- 8.4
- Air yards
- 513
- YAC
- 25
- INT
- 0
- Success
- 35.9%
- Adj. EPA
- —
Jason Wright
- Comp
- 13/28
- Cmp%
- 46.4%
- aDOT
- 13.4
- Air yards
- 376
- YAC
- 32
- INT
- 1
- Success
- 31.0%
- Adj. EPA
- —
Players
Roster, production, and the current recruiting cycle. Roster year 2026.
Returning production
0.2%of last season still on the roster (2025)
Player figures are last season's predicted points added (PPA).
- Added via transfer
- —
- Lost via transfer
- 120.2 PPA
Back
2025 PPA- Chance Morrow · WR7.7
- Patrick Clacks III · WR-5.8
- James McNeil Jr. · RB4.3
- Messiah Burch · RB-3.8
- Jasaiah Gathings · WR-1.5
- Jason Wright · QB-1.0
- Devare Mathis · RB0.4
- Terrance Shelton Jr. · RB0.1
In
2025 PPA- Andrew VanSlyke · P · James Madison—
- Caleb Oliver · EDGE · Wofford—
- Elijah Holmes · QB · Wingate—
- Joe Crocker · OL · Baylor—
- Joey Cheshire · LB · Cornell—
- Joseph Stoever · LS · Georgia Tech—
- Logan Goodwin · EDGE · IU Pennsylvania—
- Mason Nickel · DT · Saginaw Valley State—
Out
2025 PPA- Victor Snow · WR · NC State61.0
- Nik McMillan · WR · Kansas50.4
- Lamar Sperling · RB · UTEP8.8
- Charles McCartherens · DB · Marshall—
- Demetrius Ballard · DE · Boston College—
- Devin Morgan · DL · Kennesaw State—
- Dion Crawford · LB · Michigan State—
- Dylan Drennan · P · Purdue—
Stat leaders
- Passing yardsJason Wright987
- Passing yardsElijah Holmes253
- Passing TDsJason Wright7
- Passing TDsElijah Holmes3
- Rushing yardsMessiah Burch845
- Rushing yardsNino Hill202
- Rushing yardsJason Wright158
- Rushing TDsMessiah Burch5
- Rushing TDsJason Wright2
- Rushing TDsNino Hill2
- Receiving yardsChance Morrow483
- Receiving yardsClint Walker195
- Receiving yardsDwayne Early Jr.192
- Receiving TDsChance Morrow6
- Receiving TDsClint Walker3
- Receiving TDsPatrick Clacks III1
- Total tacklesSaveon Brown67
- Total tacklesMiles Greer51
- Total tacklesRonnell Davis41
- SacksLogan Goodwin2
- SacksSedrick Vessah2
- SacksWill Clark1.5
- Tackles for lossChristopher Climes4
- Tackles for lossSedrick Vessah3.5
- Tackles for lossSaveon Brown3.5
- InterceptionsMiles Greer1
- InterceptionsSedrick Vessah1
- InterceptionsSaveon Brown1
Player PPA
- Chance Morrow · WR30.0 · 0.362/play
- Nino Hill · RB11.6 · 0.193/play
- Messiah Burch · RB10.8 · 0.067/play
- Jaylen Andrews · WR8.6 · 0.317/play
- Jason Wright · QB8.1 · 0.035/play
- Elijah Holmes · QB5.8 · 0.081/play
- Dwayne Early Jr. · WR5.5 · 0.220/play
- Clint Walker · TE3.1 · 0.087/play
- Trevor Wilson · TE3.1 · 0.388/play
- Michael Gelatko · TE2.8 · 2.824/play
Commits
- Josh Fasbender · DL3★ #993
- Brien Walker · WR3★ #993
- James Conrad · LB3★ #988
- Grady Holmes · OT3★ #1192
- Zane Johnson · QB3★ #1775
- Terrence Barner · S3★ #1839
- Morgan Watts · OT3★ #1839
- Darren White · DL
- Juelz Burgos · DL
- Gavin White · WR
- Jake Lund · TE
- William Butler · EDGE
- Brandon Ross · CB
- Caleb Williams · IOL
- Mack Mitchell V · LB
- Jaiden Roach · CB
Roster
| # | Name | Pos | Class | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Kobi Blackwell | CB | 1 | Buford, GA |
| 3 | Oliver Bridges | CB | 1 | Potomac, MD |
| 5 | Mikey Crawford | CB | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 8 | Ramari Taylor | CB | 1 | Jeffersontown, KY |
| 9 | Keontez Bradley | CB | 1 | Mansfield, OH |
| 12 | Jackson Small | CB | 1 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 22 | Donovan Rodriguez | CB | 1 | Lancaster, PA |
| 24 | Sayre Smothers | CB | 1 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 27 | Davion Coffee | CB | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 28 | Drayson Crane | CB | 1 | Dallas, TX |
| 29 | Cardel Staples | CB | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 37 | Jamarcus Jones | CB | 1 | Columbus, OH |
| 88 | Rex Stinchcomb | DL | 1 | Herndon, VA |
| 97 | Christopher Climes | DL | 1 | La Belle, PA |
| 55 | Mason Nickel | DT | 1 | Midland, MI |
| 59 | Royce Rogers | DT | 1 | Springfield, OH |
| 66 | Will Reed | DT | 1 | Oak Park, MI |
| 92 | Luke Yau Gayle | DT | 1 | London |
| 95 | Stantavious Smith | DT | 1 | Albany, GA |
| 96 | Charlton Goodell | DT | 1 | Bradenton, FL |
| 98 | Mason Naple | DT | 1 | Victor, NY |
| 99 | Cornell Evans | DT | 1 | Baltimore, MD |
| 11 | Will Clark | EDGE | 1 | Crown Point, IN |
| 15 | Sedrick Vessah | EDGE | 1 | Chambersburg, PA |
| 16 | Caleb Oliver | EDGE | 1 | Deltona, FL |
| 17 | Logan Goodwin | EDGE | 1 | West Chester, PA |
| 30 | Jacari Bennett | EDGE | 1 | Simpsonville, SC |
| 34 | Preston Lunsford | EDGE | 1 | Newark, OH |
| 35 | Malachi Ervin | EDGE | 1 | Pickerington, OH |
| 49 | Aiden Anderson | EDGE | 1 | Orlando, FL |
| 50 | Zach Pettitt | EDGE | 1 | Carthage, NY |
| 91 | Henri Zeneli | EDGE | 1 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 94 | Noah Wittmer | EDGE | 1 | Webster, NY |
| 1 | SaVeon Brown | LB | 1 | Phoenix, IL |
| 2 | Stevie Bracey | LB | 1 | Atlanta, GA |
| 13 | Joey Cheshire | LB | 1 | Lakeland, FL |
| 18 | George Hill | LB | 1 | Turtle Creek, PA |
| 19 | Mathew Hilty | LB | 1 | Apollo, PA |
| 20 | DJ Mangan | LB | 1 | Maplewood, NJ |
| 21 | Bradley Ilunga-Bisselele | LB | 1 | Montreal, PQ |
| 25 | Na'Rod Jarvis | LB | 1 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 31 | Drake Saltarelli | LB | 1 | Belleair Bluffs, FL |
| 32 | Matthew Heininger | LB | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 33 | Jordan Owens | LB | 1 | Endwell, NY |
| 40 | Amari Snowden | LB | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 44 | Zach Bergmann | LB | 1 | Rogersville, MO |
| 51 | Anwar Witherspoon Jr. | LB | 1 | Edison, NJ |
| 52 | Jack Garbolino | LB | 1 | North Brunswick, NJ |
| 42 | Sam Stratton | LS | 1 | East Amherst, NY |
| 48 | Joseph Stoever | LS | 1 | Savannah, GA |
| 51 | Tyrone Davis | OL | 1 | Syracuse, NY |
| 55 | Thomas Barr | OL | 1 | Havertown, PA |
| 56 | Marco Cate | OL | 1 | Carmel, IN |
| 58 | Ben Foglia-Albrecht | OL | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 59 | Gabriel Arena | OL | 1 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 60 | Val Kondratenko | OL | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 62 | Paul Clark | OL | 1 | Crown Point, IN |
| 64 | Jacob Merritt | OL | 1 | Northville, MI |
| 68 | Mike Whalen | OL | 1 | Natick, MA |
| 69 | Jackson Bellamy | OL | 1 | Ancaster, ON |
| 70 | Robbie Westmiller | OL | 1 | Alden, NY |
| 71 | Caleb Watts | OL | 1 | Prince George, VA |
| 72 | Jaden Maxey | OL | 1 | Phoenix, AZ |
| 74 | Nino Francavilla | OL | 1 | Toronto, ON |
| 75 | Ahmaan Thomas | OL | 1 | Mansfield, OH |
| 76 | Nathan Natoli | OL | 1 | Olney, MD |
| 77 | Jackson Davenport | OL | 1 | Darien, CT |
| 78 | Joe Crocker | OL | 1 | Ascot |
| 79 | Cam Davis | OL | 1 | Newark, OH |
| 90 | Ethan Stumpf | P | 1 | Park Ridge, IL |
| 93 | Andrew VanSlyke | P | 1 | Powhatan, VA |
| 95 | Evan Pfeifer | P | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 31 | Oliver Hautanen | PK | 1 | Colleyville, TX |
| 39 | Blake Sholder | PK | 1 | Voorhees, NJ |
| 96 | Zach McGowan | PK | 1 | Tonawanda, NY |
| 7 | Jason Wright | QB | 1 | Chesterfield, VA |
| 12 | Qur'An McNeill | QB | 1 | Boston, MA |
| 15 | Mason Cumbie | QB | 1 | Hopewell, VA |
| 16 | Elijah Holmes | QB | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 18 | Jake Forburger | QB | 1 | Bethesda, MD |
| 0 | Nino Hill | RB | 1 | Canton, OH |
| 4 | Messiah Burch | RB | 1 | Staten Island, NY |
| 21 | Devare Mathis | RB | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 24 | James McNeil Jr. | RB | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 25 | Terrance Shelton Jr. | RB | 1 | Franklin, WI |
| 26 | Chase Enlow | RB | 1 | Manalapan, NJ |
| 4 | Ronnell Davis | S | 1 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 6 | Miles Greer | S | 1 | Springfield, VA |
| 7 | John Keough | S | 1 | Macedonia, OH |
| 10 | Jamiere Munson | S | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 14 | Jonathan Rousseau | S | 1 | Coconut Creek, FL |
| 23 | Xavier Leonard | S | 1 | Atlanta, GA |
| 26 | Zae Jennings | S | 1 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 38 | Dylan Cleary | S | 1 | Ellicott City, MD |
| 43 | Xair Stevenson | S | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 47 | Bryce Williams | S | 1 | Venice, FL |
| 5 | Clint Walker | TE | 1 | Goshen, IN |
| 45 | Stone Rozak | TE | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 81 | TJ Sabatucci | TE | 1 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 85 | Aiden Howard | TE | 1 | Binghamton, NY |
| 86 | Michael Gelatko | TE | 1 | Andreas, PA |
| 87 | Trevor Wilson | TE | 1 | Park Hills, KY |
| 89 | Nick Leonard | TE | 1 | Victor, NY |
| 1 | Phillip Folmar | WR | 1 | Morristown, NJ |
| 2 | Jaylen Andrews | WR | 1 | Williamsport, PA |
| 3 | Patrick Clacks III | WR | 1 | Hobart, IN |
| 6 | Chance Morrow | WR | 1 | Charlotte, NC |
| 8 | Jasaiah Gathings | WR | 1 | Statesville, NC |
| 9 | Alvin Jones III | WR | 1 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 10 | Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. | WR | 1 | Port Jefferson Station, NY |
| 11 | Dwayne Early Jr. | WR | 1 | Springfield, MA |
| 13 | Bobby Mays | WR | 1 | Bergenfield, NJ |
| 14 | Tyrell Simmons Jr. | WR | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 17 | Jeremiah Watkins | WR | 1 | Gahanna, OH |
| 28 | Shey Williams | WR | 1 | Lockport, NY |
| 82 | Terrell Richards | WR | 1 | Rochester, NY |
| 83 | Jack Eskridge | WR | 1 | Buffalo, NY |
| 88 | Aaron Clark | WR | 1 | Philadelphia, PA |
NFL draft
Recent picks out of Buffalo.
- 2026 Red Murdock · LinebackerRd 7 · Denver
Recruiting classes
- 2026#101 · 176.6
- 2025#92 · 155.6
- 2024#110 · 140.7
- 2023#84 · 160.7
- 2022#81 · 147.9
- 2021#98 · 137.8
- 2020#130 · 114.9
- 2019#106 · 134.6
- 2018#136 · 81.3
- 2017#113 · 113.0
- 2016#118 · 107.5
- 2015#118 · 103.2
- 2014#100 · 108.1
For entertainment only — nothing here is betting advice, and no outcome is ever guaranteed. 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.