North Carolina @ No. 23 Clemson
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 87° · Wind 4 mph · Fair · 20–28 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -3.0 · total 44.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -3.0 | 44.5 |
| Draft Kings | -3.0 | 44.5 |
Clemson ML · Model 65% · Book 59% · value Clemson
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Clemson -4.5OC Total 46.01.4 pts vs market
North CarolinaPower ratingsClemson
SP+Clemson by 1.0
3.7
4.7
FPINorth Carolina by 1.5
8.6
7.1
Elo (pts)Clemson by 3.2
-0.6
2.6
CORENorth Carolina by 3.5
2.8
-0.7
WEPANorth Carolina by 5.4
3.0
-2.4
SRSNorth Carolina by 3.1
7.9
4.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Clemson's side
Game recap
| Metric | North Carolina | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.435 | 0.418 |
| Explosiveness | 1.050 | 1.300 |
| Havoc | 0.149 | 0.145 |
| PPA | -0.075 | 0.194 |
| Field position | 68 | 70.200 |
Passing
- Billy Edwards · North Carolina13/30 · 135 yds · 7.1 aDOT
- Tait Reynolds · Clemson20/30 · 215 yds · 6.1 aDOT