North Carolina vs TCU

8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 64° · Wind 7 mph · Overcast · 15–10 F

Our pick North Carolina +7.5Covered by 12.5

Our total Over 46.5Did not cover by 21.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -8.0 → now -7.5 · total 46.5

Book	Spread	Total
Bovada	-7.5	46.0
DraftKings	-7.5	46.5

TCU ML · Model 70% · Book 70%

North Carolina off a byeTCU off a byeNorth Carolina +31 days rest

OC Model projected score

Our pick North Carolina +7.5Our total Over 46.5OC Spread TCU -2.0OC Total 45.55.7 pts vs market

Win probability

North Carolina 30%TCU 70%

North CarolinaPower ratingsTCU

SP+TCU by 4.9

3.7

8.6

FPINorth Carolina by 1.3

8.6

7.3

Elo (pts)TCU by 4.9

-0.6

4.3

CORETCU by 5.8

2.8

8.6

WEPATCU by 1.4

3.0

4.4

SRSNorth Carolina by 0.8

7.9

7.1

Last 4: SU 1-3 · ATS 0-0 from TCU's side