NC State @ Vanderbilt
9/19/2026, 4:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 94° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 31–35 F
Our pick Vanderbilt -3.0Covered by 1.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -4.0 → now -3.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -3.0 | 50.5 |
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 50.5 |
| Draft Kings | -3.0 | 50.5 |
Vanderbilt ML · Model 73% · Book 61% · value Vanderbilt
NC State travels 453 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Vanderbilt -3.0OC Spread Vanderbilt -7.0OC Total 57.04.0 pts vs market
NC StatePower ratingsVanderbilt
SP+NC State by 0.5
-0.9
-1.4
FPINC State by 0.8
1.1
0.3
Elo (pts)Vanderbilt by 2.0
-0.3
1.7
COREVanderbilt by 4.1
-8.1
-4.0
WEPANC State by 0.2
-5.6
-5.9
SRSNC State by 1.5
-1.2
-2.7
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 2-1 · ATS 0-0 from Vanderbilt's side
- 2016 · Vanderbilt 17–41unpriced
- 2012 · Vanderbilt 38–24unpriced
- 1946 · Vanderbilt 7–0unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | NC State | Vanderbilt |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.392 | 0.466 |
| Explosiveness | 1.350 | 1.500 |
| Havoc | 0.155 | 0.127 |
| PPA | 0.096 | 0.403 |
| Field position | 75.100 | 69.700 |
Passing
- CJ Bailey · NC State25/37 · 264 yds · 9.9 aDOT
- Jared Curtis · Vanderbilt20/34 · 277 yds · 12.0 aDOT
- Joshisa Trader · NC State1/1 · 5 yds · 5.0 aDOT
- Will Wilson · NC State1/1 · 5 yds · 5.0 aDOT