App State @ NC State
9/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPNU · 71° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 31–41 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -13.0 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | -13.0 | 56.5 |
NC State ML · Model 82% · Book 81%
Ratings matchup
OC Spread NC State -11.0OC Total 57.52.0 pts vs market
App StatePower ratingsNC State
SP+NC State by 4.0
-4.9
-0.9
FPINC State by 9.5
-8.4
1.1
Elo (pts)NC State by 8.4
-8.7
-0.3
CORENC State by 0.7
-8.8
-8.1
WEPAApp State by 1.1
-4.6
-5.6
SRSNC State by 6.9
-8.1
-1.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from NC State's side
Game recap
| Metric | App State | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.365 | 0.532 |
| Explosiveness | 1.320 | 1.090 |
| Havoc | 0.165 | 0.143 |
| PPA | 0.086 | 0.269 |
| Field position | 73.200 | 67.600 |
Passing
- Malachi Singleton · App State26/39 · 317 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- CJ Bailey · NC State24/33 · 253 yds · 7.0 aDOT