Option Country
← Week 9 board

California @ NC State

10/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ACC Network · 63° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 10–31 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -9.5 · total 56.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-9.556.5
DraftKings-9.556.5

NC State ML · Model 82% · Book 73% · value NC State

California travels 2390 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread NC State -10.5OC Total 57.00.9 pts vs market
CaliforniaPower ratingsNC State
SP+NC State by 7.3
-8.2
-0.9
FPINC State by 8.1
-6.9
1.1
Elo (pts)NC State by 11.3
-11.6
-0.3
CORENC State by 12.1
-20.2
-8.1
WEPANC State by 7.5
-13.1
-5.6
SRSNC State by 8.5
-9.7
-1.2

Game recap

MetricCaliforniaNC State
Success rate0.3200.438
Explosiveness1.1101
Havoc0.1090.133
PPA-0.1650.108
Field position70.40072.500

Passing

  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · California29/45 · 196 yds · 7.4 aDOT
  • CJ Bailey · NC State13/25 · 192 yds · 10.8 aDOT
  • Will Wilson · NC State1/1 · 6 yds · -2.0 aDOT

Win probability