Stanford @ Duke
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM · CW · 88° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 7–35 F
Our pick Duke -10.0Covered by 18.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -9.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -10.0 | 51.5 |
| Draft Kings | -9.5 | 51.5 |
Duke ML · Model 94% · Book 76% · value Duke
Stanford off a byeStanford +7 days restStanford travels 2375 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Duke -10.0OC Spread Duke -18.5OC Total 53.09.0 pts vs market
StanfordPower ratingsDuke
SP+Duke by 17.6
-10.8
6.8
FPIDuke by 20.3
-10.0
10.3
Elo (pts)Duke by 24.0
-14.2
9.8
COREDuke by 24.6
-13.6
11.0
WEPADuke by 21.1
-12.7
8.4
SRSDuke by 16.6
-9.5
7.1
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 1-3 · ATS 0-0 from Duke's side
Game recap
| Metric | Stanford | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.356 | 0.515 |
| Explosiveness | 1.060 | 1.360 |
| Havoc | 0.106 | 0.267 |
| PPA | -0.036 | 0.445 |
| Field position | 75.500 | 68.500 |
Passing
- Davis Warren · Stanford18/32 · 151 yds · 5.6 aDOT
- Walker Eget · Duke14/24 · 202 yds · 11.0 aDOT
- Mike Mitchell Jr. · Stanford2/4 · 13 yds · 17.3 aDOT