Tulane @ Duke
9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ACC Network · 77° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 3–17 F
Our pick Duke -9.0Covered by 5.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.0 → now -9.0 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -8.0 | 50.5 |
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 51.5 |
Duke ML · Model 72% · Book 78% · value Tulane
Tulane off a byeDuke off a byeTulane +10 days restTulane travels 770 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Duke -9.0OC Spread Duke -15.5OC Total 50.06.8 pts vs market
Win probability
Tulane 28%Duke 72%
TulanePower ratingsDuke
SP+Duke by 15.0
-8.2
6.8
FPIDuke by 15.3
-5.0
10.3
Elo (pts)Duke by 10.8
-1.1
9.8
COREDuke by 14.2
-3.2
11.0
WEPADuke by 10.1
-1.7
8.4
SRSDuke by 13.4
-6.3
7.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Duke's side
Game recap
| Metric | Tulane | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.327 | 0.295 |
| Explosiveness | 0.890 | 1.240 |
| Havoc | 0.090 | 0.255 |
| PPA | 0.062 | -0.051 |
| Field position | 74.900 | 67.200 |
Passing
- Walker Eget · Duke13/27 · 136 yds · 5.5 aDOT
- Kadin Semonza · Tulane11/21 · 140 yds · 7.8 aDOT
- Zeon Chriss · Tulane6/9 · 64 yds · 1.8 aDOT
- Dan Mahan · Duke0/1 · 0 yds · 18.0 aDOT