Graded in public

Weekly model report card

Every OC Model position graded against its locked line and the closing consensus. Wins stay wins, misses stay visible.

Week 3

ATS

19–11

63.3%

Straight up

15–15

Context only

Average CLV

-0.15

Points versus close

Units (−110)

+6.27

Season +106.09

Spread 208–83 (+106.09 u) · Totals 3–5 (-2.27 u)

Best call

Colorado @ Northwestern

Northwestern -3.5 · Covered by 30.5

Toughest miss

Kentucky @ Texas A&M

Texas A&M -15.5 · Missed by 25.5

Best number

New Mexico @ Oklahoma

New Mexico +23.5 · CLV +2.17

Every position

Game	OC side	Close	ATS	Units	CLV
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -10.5	-10.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Miami @ Wake Forest	Wake Forest +20.5	+20.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Tulane @ Kansas State	Tulane +20.5	+20.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Bowling Green @ Iowa State	Iowa State -23.0	-23.0	W	+0.91	0.00
Buffalo @ Penn State	Buffalo +39.5	+39.5	L	-1.00	-0.17
North Texas @ Texas State	North Texas +3.0	+3.0	L	-1.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin	Wisconsin -23.5	-23.5	W	+0.91	0.00
NC State @ Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt -3.0	-3.0	W	+0.91	0.00
Wyoming @ Central Michigan	Central Michigan +1.5	+1.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Kentucky @ Texas A&M	Texas A&M -15.5	-16.5	L	-1.00	+1.00
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati	Cincinnati -15.5	-14.5	L	-1.00	-1.00
Stanford @ Duke	Duke -10.0	-9.5	W	+0.91	-0.33
Western Kentucky @ Indiana	Western Kentucky +45.0	+44.5	W	+0.91	+0.08
Ball State @ Liberty	Liberty -14.5	-14.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Louisiana Tech @ Baylor	Louisiana Tech +20.0	+20.0	W	+0.91	-0.25
Mississippi State @ South Carolina	South Carolina -3.5	-3.0	L	-1.00	-0.50
Marshall @ Missouri State	Missouri State +4.0	+4.0	L	-1.00	0.00
Troy @ Missouri	Troy +27.0	+27.0	W	+0.91	0.00
Georgia State @ UCF	UCF -18.5	-17.5	L	-1.00	-1.00
UConn @ Southern Miss	Southern Miss +2.5	+3.5	L	-1.00	-1.00
Western Michigan @ Rice	Western Michigan -9.0	-8.5	L	-1.00	-0.25
Nevada @ Middle Tennessee	Nevada -6.0	-3.5	L	-1.00	-2.33
New Mexico @ Oklahoma	New Mexico +23.5	+21.5	W	+0.91	+2.17
Colorado @ Northwestern	Northwestern -3.5	-3.5	W	+0.91	0.00
West Virginia @ Virginia	West Virginia +10.5	+10.5	W	+0.91	0.00
Kennesaw State @ Tennessee	Kennesaw State +34.5	+35.5	W	+0.91	-1.00
UAB @ Louisiana	Louisiana -7.5	-7.0	L	-1.00	-0.50
James Madison @ San Diego State	James Madison +3.0	+3.0	W	+0.91	0.00
Northern Illinois @ Arizona	Northern Illinois +35.5	+34.5	W	+0.91	+1.00
Fresno State @ San José State	Fresno State -4.5	-4.0	W	+0.91	-0.33