Option Country

Graded in public

Weekly model report card

Every OC Model position graded against its locked line and the closing consensus. Wins stay wins, misses stay visible.

Week 6

A

ATS

26–5

83.9%

Straight up

24–7

Context only

Average CLV

-0.04

Points versus close

Units (−110)

+18.64

Season +106.09

Spread 208–83 (+106.09 u) · Totals 3–5 (-2.27 u)

Best call

Buffalo @ Toledo

Buffalo +19.0 · Covered by 34.0

Toughest miss

San Diego State @ Oregon State

San Diego State +14.0 · Missed by 38.0

Best number

South Florida @ UTSA

South Florida +6.5 · CLV +1.00

Every position

GameOC sideConfCloseATSUnitsCLV
Sam Houston @ LibertyLiberty -13.5-13.5W+0.910.00
Missouri State @ Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky +2.0+2.0W+0.910.00
South Florida @ UTSASouth Florida +6.5+5.5L-1.00+1.00
Florida State @ LouisvilleLouisville -4.5-4.5W+0.910.00
Iowa @ WashingtonIowa +1.5+3.0W+0.91-1.50
Iowa State @ BYUBYU -10.5-11.5W+0.91+1.00
Arizona @ West VirginiaArizona -3.5-3.5W+0.910.00
North Carolina @ PittsburghPittsburgh -4.0-3.5L-1.00-0.50
Wake Forest @ NC StateWake Forest -4.0-4.0W+0.910.00
Sacramento State @ Bowling GreenBowling Green -9.5-9.5W+0.910.00
Ball State @ NorthwesternNorthwestern -35.0-35.0L-1.000.00
South Carolina @ FloridaSouth Carolina +10.5+10.5W+0.910.00
Rice @ East CarolinaEast Carolina -10.0-10.0W+0.910.00
Miami (OH) @ MassachusettsMassachusetts +6.0+6.0W+0.910.00
Texas @ OklahomaTexas -8.0-8.0L-1.000.00
Houston @ Kansas StateHouston +2.5+2.5W+0.910.00
Stanford @ Notre DameNotre Dame -40.0-40.0W+0.910.00
Virginia Tech @ CaliforniaCalifornia +11.0+11.0W+0.910.00
Buffalo @ ToledoBuffalo +19.0+19.0W+0.910.00
Central Michigan @ OhioOhio -3.5-2.5W+0.91-1.00
Kent State @ Western MichiganWestern Michigan -14.0-14.0W+0.91-0.25
UConn @ TempleUConn +4.0+4.0W+0.910.00
San Diego State @ Oregon StateSan Diego State +14.0+14.5L-1.00-0.50
UAB @ MemphisMemphis -14.5-15.5W+0.91+0.75
Nevada @ UTEPNevada -10.0-10.0W+0.910.00
Coastal Carolina @ MarshallCoastal Carolina +4.5+4.5W+0.910.00
Georgia @ AlabamaGeorgia +2.5+2.5W+0.910.00
Syracuse @ VirginiaSyracuse +14.0+14.0W+0.910.00
Air Force @ Northern IllinoisAir Force -7.5-7.0W+0.91-0.50
Minnesota @ PurduePurdue +3.0+3.0W+0.910.00
Hawai'i @ Arizona StateHawai'i +21.0+21.0W+0.91+0.25