Option Country

Graded in public

Weekly model report card

Every OC Model position graded against its locked line and the closing consensus. Wins stay wins, misses stay visible.

Week 5

A

ATS

19–10

65.5%

Straight up

18–11

Context only

Average CLV

-0.19

Points versus close

Units (−110)

+7.27

Season +106.09

Spread 208–83 (+106.09 u) · Totals 3–5 (-2.27 u)

Best call

Stanford @ Wake Forest

Wake Forest -14.5 · Covered by 39.5

Toughest miss

Middle Tennessee @ Kansas

Middle Tennessee +21.0 · Missed by 34.0

Best number

Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts

Massachusetts -3.5 · CLV +2.25

Every position

GameOC sideConfCloseATSUnitsCLV
Memphis @ CharlotteMemphis -19.5-19.5W+0.910.00
Alabama @ Mississippi StateAlabama -5.5-5.5W+0.910.00
Middle Tennessee @ KansasMiddle Tennessee +21.0+21.0L-1.00-0.25
UCF @ HoustonUCF +10.5+10.5W+0.910.00
Boston College @ SMUBoston College +21.0+21.5W+0.91-0.50
Stanford @ Wake ForestWake Forest -14.5-14.5W+0.910.00
Syracuse @ UConnUConn +6.5+6.5W+0.91-0.25
Western Michigan @ BuffaloBuffalo +13.5+13.5W+0.910.00
Florida @ MissouriMissouri +5.5+5.5W+0.910.00
Wyoming @ North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State -17.5-17.5W+0.910.00
Eastern Michigan @ MassachusettsMassachusetts -3.5-6.0L-1.00+2.25
Ohio @ Kent StateOhio -5.5-3.5L-1.00-2.00
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -15.5-11.5L-1.00-4.25
Old Dominion @ Georgia StateGeorgia State -2.0-2.0W+0.910.00
Marshall @ James MadisonJames Madison -14.0-16.5W+0.91+2.25
Maryland @ NebraskaNebraska -13.5-15.0W+0.91+1.50
UTEP @ New MexicoNew Mexico -21.0-23.5W+0.91+2.25
Purdue @ IllinoisIllinois -10.0-10.0L-1.00-0.25
UL Monroe @ South AlabamaSouth Alabama -14.5-13.5W+0.91-1.25
Texas Tech @ ColoradoTexas Tech -13.5-13.5W+0.910.00
Miami @ ClemsonMiami -15.0-15.0W+0.910.00
Washington @ USCUSC -8.5-8.5L-1.000.00
Temple @ South FloridaSouth Florida -6.0-5.5L-1.00-0.25
Army @ Louisiana TechArmy +0.5+0.5L-1.000.00
Arkansas State @ LouisianaLouisiana -6.5-5.5L-1.00-1.00
Fresno State @ Washington StateFresno State +1.5+2.5W+0.91-0.75
Baylor @ Arizona StateBaylor +3.5+3.5W+0.910.00
Texas State @ San Diego StateSan Diego State +5.0+10.0W+0.91-4.75
Cincinnati @ ArizonaCincinnati +8.5+7.0L-1.00+1.75