Option Country

Graded in public

Weekly model report card

Every OC Model position graded against its locked line and the closing consensus. Wins stay wins, misses stay visible.

Week 4

A

ATS

29–10

74.4%

Straight up

27–12

Context only

Average CLV

-0.26

Points versus close

Units (−110)

+16.36

Season +106.09

Spread 208–83 (+106.09 u) · Totals 3–5 (-2.27 u)

Best call

Massachusetts @ Sacramento State

Massachusetts -6.0 · Covered by 23.0

Toughest miss

UCLA @ Maryland

Maryland +2.5 · Missed by 48.5

Best number

Sam Houston @ Texas Tech

Sam Houston +35.0 · CLV +0.25

Every position

GameOC sideConfCloseATSUnitsCLV
Liberty @ Coastal CarolinaLiberty -2.5-2.5W+0.910.00
Clemson @ CaliforniaClemson -2.5-2.5W+0.910.00
Sam Houston @ Texas TechSam Houston +35.0+34.5L-1.00+0.25
Colorado @ BaylorBaylor -8.5-8.5W+0.910.00
Wake Forest @ LouisvilleWake Forest +11.5+11.5W+0.910.00
San Diego State @ ToledoToledo -3.0-3.0W+0.910.00
Colorado State @ UTSAColorado State +12.5+14.5L-1.00-1.75
UCLA @ MarylandMaryland +2.5+2.5L-1.000.00
Northern Illinois @ Georgia StateGeorgia State -9.0-9.0W+0.910.00
Hawai'i @ WyomingHawai'i -4.0-2.5L-1.00-1.75
Ole Miss @ FloridaFlorida -4.0-4.0W+0.910.00
Oklahoma @ GeorgiaGeorgia -11.5-11.5W+0.910.00
TCU @ UCFUCF +3.5+3.5W+0.910.00
Utah @ Iowa StateUtah -7.5-7.5W+0.910.00
Boise State @ Western MichiganBoise State -8.5-8.5W+0.910.00
New Mexico @ New Mexico StateNew Mexico -12.5-11.5W+0.91-1.00
Nebraska @ Michigan StateNebraska -6.0-6.0W+0.910.00
Wisconsin @ Penn StatePenn State -11.5-10.0L-1.00-1.75
South Florida @ Bowling GreenSouth Florida -17.5-18.0L-1.00+0.25
Delaware @ VirginiaVirginia -20.0-20.0W+0.910.00
James Madison @ Old DominionJames Madison -7.0-7.0W+0.910.00
Central Michigan @ MiamiMiami -41.5-41.5W+0.910.00
Louisiana @ CharlotteLouisiana -9.5-9.5W+0.910.00
South Carolina @ AlabamaAlabama -12.5-12.5W+0.910.00
Kansas State @ CincinnatiCincinnati +6.0+6.0W+0.910.00
Oklahoma State @ West VirginiaOklahoma State +1.5+1.5W+0.910.00
Southern Miss @ TulaneSouthern Miss +18.0+18.0W+0.910.00
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -7.5-7.0W+0.91-0.25
Texas A&M @ LSUTexas A&M +5.5+8.5L-1.00-3.00
Troy @ Utah StateTroy +3.0+3.0L-1.000.00
Tulsa @ ArkansasTulsa +7.0+7.0L-1.000.00
Florida Atlantic @ UL MonroeFlorida Atlantic -11.5-11.5W+0.910.00
Missouri State @ SMUMissouri State +30.5+30.5W+0.910.00
Oregon State @ UTEPOregon State -11.5-11.5W+0.910.00
Massachusetts @ Sacramento StateMassachusetts -6.0-6.0W+0.910.00
Rice @ Fresno StateFresno State -12.5-12.5W+0.91-0.25
Georgia Tech @ StanfordGeorgia Tech -3.5-3.0L-1.00-0.50
Air Force @ NevadaNevada +5.5+5.5W+0.91+0.25
Minnesota @ WashingtonMinnesota +11.5+12.5W+0.91-0.75