Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
10/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 79° · Wind 5 mph · Fair · 26–23 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -10.5 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -10.0 | 46.5 |
| DraftKings | -10.5 | 46.5 |
Florida International ML · Model 77% · Book 77%
Middle Tennessee travels 783 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Florida International -8.5OC Total 47.51.6 pts vs market
Middle TennesseePower ratingsFlorida International
SP+Florida International by 7.3
-15.2
-7.9
FPIFlorida International by 4.0
-17.3
-13.2
Elo (pts)Florida International by 7.8
-14.3
-6.5
COREMiddle Tennessee by 0.5
-10.8
-11.3
WEPAFlorida International by 3.6
-8.0
-4.4
SRSFlorida International by 2.7
-14.4
-11.7
Game recap
| Metric | Middle Tennessee | Florida International |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.463 | 0.417 |
| Explosiveness | 1.230 | 1.220 |
| Havoc | 0.083 | 0.119 |
| PPA | 0.206 | -0.005 |
| Field position | 67.800 | 70.400 |
Passing
- J.J. Kohl · Florida International14/28 · 130 yds · 7.5 aDOT
- Roman Gagliano · Middle Tennessee16/27 · 200 yds · 8.1 aDOT