New Mexico State @ Florida International
10/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 78° · Wind 0 mph · Light Rain · 3–22 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -3.5 → now -7.0 · total 47.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.0 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | -7.0 | 47.0 |
Florida International ML · Model 77% · Book 67% · value Florida International
Florida International +6 days restNew Mexico State travels 1651 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Florida International -8.5OC Total 43.51.6 pts vs market
New Mexico StatePower ratingsFlorida International
SP+Florida International by 5.5
-13.4
-7.9
FPIFlorida International by 2.3
-15.6
-13.2
Elo (pts)Florida International by 5.2
-11.8
-6.5
COREFlorida International by 2.5
-13.8
-11.3
WEPAFlorida International by 4.5
-9.0
-4.4
SRSFlorida International by 4.3
-16.0
-11.7
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 2-2 · ATS 0-0 from Florida International's side
- 2024 · Florida International 34–13unpriced
- 2023 · Florida International 17–34unpriced
- 2022 · Florida International 21–7unpriced
- 2004 · Florida International 31–56unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico State | Florida International |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.339 | 0.382 |
| Explosiveness | 1.040 | 0.790 |
| Havoc | 0.191 | 0.203 |
| PPA | -0.354 | -0.069 |
| Field position | 74.800 | 61.200 |
Passing
- Adam Damante · New Mexico State9/22 · 104 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- J.J. Kohl · Florida International12/21 · 115 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Trey Hedden · New Mexico State2/8 · 19 yds · 8.5 aDOT
- Zach Marker · Florida International1/1 · 5 yds · -6.0 aDOT