Marshall @ Missouri State
9/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 90° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 30–24 F
Our pick Missouri State +4.0Did not cover by 2.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +4.0 → now +4.0 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +4.0 | 52.5 |
| Bovada | +4.0 | 52.5 |
| Draft Kings | +4.0 | 52.5 |
Missouri State ML · Model 47% · Book 37% · value Missouri State
Marshall travels 598 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Missouri State +4.0OC Spread Missouri State +1.0OC Total 57.53.3 pts vs market
MarshallPower ratingsMissouri State
SP+Marshall by 6.2
-10.7
-16.9
FPIMarshall by 1.0
-13.8
-14.8
Elo (pts)Marshall by 5.6
-5.3
-10.9
COREMarshall by 8.6
-10.8
-19.4
WEPAMarshall by 5.2
-8.3
-13.5
SRSMarshall by 0.2
-13.8
-14.0
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Missouri State's side
- 2025 · Missouri State 21–20unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Marshall | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.507 | 0.563 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.094 | 0.151 |
| PPA | 0.341 | 0.387 |
| Field position | 72.100 | 77.300 |
Passing
- Skyler Locklear · Missouri State19/28 · 309 yds · 9.0 aDOT
- Henry Belin IV · Missouri State1/1 · 11 yds · -2.0 aDOT
- Khalil Wilkins · Marshall1/1 · 21 yds · 18.0 aDOT