East Carolina @ Memphis
10/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 70° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 34–41 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -10.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -10.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -10.5 | 55.5 |
Memphis ML · Model 82% · Book 77% · value Memphis
East Carolina travels 711 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Memphis -10.5OC Total 54.50.2 pts vs market
East CarolinaPower ratingsMemphis
SP+Memphis by 11.0
-4.0
7.0
FPIMemphis by 7.6
-3.8
3.7
Elo (pts)Memphis by 10.0
-2.5
7.4
COREMemphis by 10.8
-1.1
9.7
WEPAMemphis by 9.2
-2.8
6.4
SRSMemphis by 10.1
-8.6
1.5
Game recap
| Metric | East Carolina | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.342 | 0.475 |
| Explosiveness | 1.490 | 1.250 |
| Havoc | 0.113 | 0.241 |
| PPA | 0.169 | 0.299 |
| Field position | 73.400 | 68.100 |
Passing
- Marcus Stokes · Memphis29/43 · 320 yds · 10.1 aDOT
- Mitch Griffis · East Carolina14/26 · 199 yds · 11.6 aDOT
- Emory Williams · East Carolina5/13 · 61 yds · 7.8 aDOT