East Carolina @ UAB
10/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 79° · Wind 0 mph · Fair · 17–30 F
Our pick East Carolina -5.0Did not cover by 18.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +4.5 → now +5.5 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +5.5 | 49.5 |
| Bovada | +5.0 | 49.0 |
UAB ML · Model 27% · Book 36% · value East Carolina
East Carolina travels 556 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
UAB
21
Our pick East Carolina -5.0OC Spread UAB +7.0OC Total 48.51.8 pts vs market
East CarolinaPower ratingsUAB
SP+East Carolina by 6.4
-4.0
-10.4
FPIEast Carolina by 10.2
-3.8
-14.0
Elo (pts)East Carolina by 2.6
-2.5
-5.2
COREEast Carolina by 2.0
-1.1
-3.1
WEPAEast Carolina by 0.1
-2.8
-2.9
SRSEast Carolina by 3.3
-8.6
-11.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 0-5 · ATS 0-0 from UAB's side
Game recap
| Metric | East Carolina | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.363 | 0.362 |
| Explosiveness | 1.140 | 1.370 |
| Havoc | 0.232 | 0.175 |
| PPA | -0.167 | 0.110 |
| Field position | 72.500 | 78.300 |
Passing
- Ryder Burton · UAB18/36 · 245 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- Emory Williams · East Carolina18/27 · 126 yds · 3.5 aDOT
- Braylon McReynolds · UAB1/1 · 17 yds