Rice @ East Carolina
10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 75° · Wind 9 mph · Heavy Rain · 12–28 F
Our pick East Carolina -10.0Covered by 6.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -10.0 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -10.0 | 46.0 |
| DraftKings | -10.0 | 46.5 |
East Carolina ML · Model 87% · Book 76% · value East Carolina
East Carolina off a byeEast Carolina +7 days restRice travels 1123 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick East Carolina -10.0OC Spread East Carolina -13.0OC Total 46.53.2 pts vs market
RicePower ratingsEast Carolina
SP+East Carolina by 10.2
-14.2
-4.0
FPIEast Carolina by 10.6
-14.4
-3.8
Elo (pts)East Carolina by 12.3
-14.8
-2.5
COREEast Carolina by 11.1
-12.1
-1.1
WEPAEast Carolina by 4.6
-7.4
-2.8
SRSEast Carolina by 2.8
-11.4
-8.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from East Carolina's side
- 2023 · East Carolina 17–24unpriced
- 2010 · East Carolina 38–62unpriced
- 2009 · East Carolina 49–13unpriced
- 2006 · East Carolina 17–18unpriced
- 2005 · East Carolina 41–28unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Rice | East Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.269 | 0.320 |
| Explosiveness | 0.840 | 1.460 |
| Havoc | 0.213 | 0.269 |
| PPA | -0.292 | -0.021 |
| Field position | 73.400 | 58.800 |
Passing
- Emory Williams · East Carolina19/31 · 143 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Jacurri Brown · Rice2/10 · 21 yds · 6.2 aDOT
- Gael Ochoa · Rice2/4 · 48 yds · 12.3 aDOT
- Mitch Griffis · East Carolina2/3 · -1 yds · 2.7 aDOT