Florida International @ South Florida
9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 87° · Wind 5 mph · Heavy Rain Shower · 9–19 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -13.5 → now -14.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -14.5 | 53.0 |
| DraftKings | -14.5 | 53.5 |
| Draft Kings | -14.5 | 53.5 |
South Florida ML · Model 82% · Book 81%
Florida International off a byeSouth Florida off a byeSouth Florida +10 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread South Florida -12.5OC Total 54.01.9 pts vs market
Win probability
Florida International 19%South Florida 82%
Florida InternationalPower ratingsSouth Florida
SP+South Florida by 10.4
-11.5
-1.1
FPISouth Florida by 9.6
-9.3
0.3
Elo (pts)South Florida by 10.7
-3.6
7.0
CORESouth Florida by 6.9
-1.8
5.1
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0 from South Florida's side
- 2008 · South Florida 17–9unpriced
- 2006 · South Florida 21–20unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Florida International | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.382 | 0.431 |
| Explosiveness | 1.130 | 0.650 |
| Havoc | 0.155 | 0.158 |
| PPA | 0.111 | -0.063 |
| Field position | 78.100 | 58.600 |
Passing
- J.J. Kohl · Florida International31/50 · 301 yds · 7.1 aDOT