No. 13 Penn State @ No. 18 Michigan
10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBS · 52° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 18–21 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -6.0 · total 43.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.0 | 43.5 |
| Bovada | -6.0 | 43.0 |
Michigan ML · Model 62% · Book 66% · value Penn State
Michigan off a byeMichigan +8 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Michigan -3.5OC Total 45.02.5 pts vs market
Penn StatePower ratingsMichigan
SP+Michigan by 2.2
9.3
11.5
FPIPenn State by 1.5
12.2
10.7
Elo (pts)Penn State by 3.1
11.9
8.8
COREMichigan by 4.5
7.5
12.1
WEPAMichigan by 0.3
5.5
5.8
SRSPenn State by 1.8
6.8
5.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Michigan's side
Game recap
| Metric | Penn State | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.403 | 0.396 |
| Explosiveness | 1.030 | 1.420 |
| Havoc | 0.189 | 0.143 |
| PPA | -0.069 | 0.096 |
| Field position | 78.300 | 65.800 |
Passing
- Rocco Becht · Penn State28/44 · 267 yds · 9.0 aDOT
- Bryce Underwood · Michigan5/11 · 43 yds · 11.8 aDOT
- Tommy Carr · Michigan5/7 · 47 yds · 13.4 aDOT