No. 19 USC @ No. 13 Penn State
10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 61° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 31–23 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now +0.5 · total 54.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 | 54.5 |
| Bovada | -1.0 | 54.5 |
Penn State ML · Model 48% · Book 49%
USC travels 2247 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
USC
29
OC Spread Penn State +0.5OC Total 56.50.3 pts vs market
USCPower ratingsPenn State
SP+USC by 4.9
14.2
9.3
FPIUSC by 2.8
15.0
12.2
Elo (pts)USC by 0.2
12.1
11.9
COREUSC by 2.4
9.9
7.5
WEPAUSC by 1.9
7.4
5.5
SRSUSC by 3.7
10.5
6.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Penn State's side
- 2024 · Penn State 33–30unpriced
- 2016 · Penn State 49–52unpriced
- 2008 · Penn State 24–38unpriced
- 2000 · Penn State 5–29unpriced
- 1996 · Penn State 24–7unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | USC | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.500 | 0.385 |
| Explosiveness | 1.400 | 1.200 |
| Havoc | 0.138 | 0.125 |
| PPA | 0.441 | 0.043 |
| Field position | 77 | 67 |
Passing
- Jayden Maiava · USC21/33 · 301 yds · 12.5 aDOT
- Rocco Becht · Penn State21/32 · 289 yds · 8.0 aDOT