No. 13 Penn State @ Northwestern
10/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM · FOX · 54° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 13–34 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +7.0 → now +3.0 · total 47.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.0 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | +2.5 | 47.0 |
Northwestern ML · Model 49% · Book 45%
Penn State travels 516 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Northwestern +0.5OC Total 49.02.4 pts vs market
Penn StatePower ratingsNorthwestern
SP+Northwestern by 4.4
9.3
13.7
FPINorthwestern by 1.3
12.2
13.5
Elo (pts)Penn State by 2.1
11.9
9.8
CORENorthwestern by 8.4
7.5
16.0
WEPANorthwestern by 6.7
5.5
12.3
SRSNorthwestern by 7.5
6.8
14.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Northwestern's side
- 2025 · Northwestern 22–21unpriced
- 2023 · Northwestern 13–41unpriced
- 2022 · Northwestern 7–17unpriced
- 2017 · Northwestern 7–31unpriced
- 2015 · Northwestern 23–21unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Penn State | Northwestern |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.426 | 0.576 |
| Explosiveness | 1.080 | 1.190 |
| Havoc | 0.136 | 0.259 |
| PPA | 0.062 | 0.261 |
| Field position | 73.700 | 72 |
Passing
- Rocco Becht · Penn State26/41 · 243 yds · 9.2 aDOT
- Aidan Chiles · Northwestern10/14 · 93 yds · 5.4 aDOT