Option Country
← Week 2 board

No. 16 Penn State @ Temple

9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN2 · 81° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 27–9 F

Our pick Temple +24.5Covered by 6.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +21.5 → now +24.5 · total 50.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+24.050.0
DraftKings+24.549.5

Temple ML · Model 5% · Book 7%

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Temple +24.5OC Spread Temple +20.5OC Total 54.54.0 pts vs market
Penn StatePower ratingsTemple
SP+Penn State by 17.0
9.3
-7.7
FPIPenn State by 21.9
12.2
-9.6
Elo (pts)Penn State by 20.2
11.9
-8.2
COREPenn State by 13.5
7.5
-6.0
WEPAPenn State by 8.5
5.5
-3.0
SRSPenn State by 17.9
6.8
-11.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Temple's side

  • 2016 · Temple 27–34unpriced
  • 2015 · Temple 27–10unpriced
  • 2014 · Temple 13–30unpriced
  • 2012 · Temple 13–24unpriced
  • 2011 · Temple 10–14unpriced

Game recap

MetricPenn StateTemple
Success rate0.4750.404
Explosiveness1.2101.120
Havoc0.1280.076
PPA0.2540.144
Field position61.20081.400

Passing

  • Rocco Becht · Penn State21/27 · 268 yds · 10.1 aDOT
  • Jaxon Smolik · Temple10/16 · 59 yds · 4.1 aDOT
  • Ajani Sheppard · Temple3/6 · 48 yds · 12.7 aDOT

Win probability