No. 18 Oklahoma State @ No. 20 Houston
10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM · Fox · 69° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 32–35 F
Our pick Houston -4.5Did not cover by 1.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -3.5 → now -4.5 · total 62.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.0 | 62.5 |
| Bovada | -4.5 | 62.0 |
Houston ML · Model 73% · Book 63% · value Houston
Oklahoma State travels 454 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Houston -4.5OC Spread Houston -7.0OC Total 57.02.7 pts vs market
Oklahoma StatePower ratingsHouston
SP+Houston by 0.9
12.4
13.3
FPIHouston by 3.5
10.5
14.0
Elo (pts)Houston by 6.0
-1.4
4.6
COREHouston by 0.8
9.9
10.7
WEPAHouston by 3.1
3.3
6.4
SRSHouston by 2.7
13.6
16.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Houston's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oklahoma State | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.533 | 0.549 |
| Explosiveness | 1.270 | 1.220 |
| Havoc | 0.099 | 0.217 |
| PPA | 0.295 | 0.371 |
| Field position | 77.600 | 73.500 |
Passing
- Drew Mestemaker · Oklahoma State22/34 · 365 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Conner Weigman · Houston24/33 · 343 yds · 9.9 aDOT