UCF @ No. 18 Oklahoma State
10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN2 · 84° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 28–42 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -10.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -10.0 | 53.5 |
| DraftKings | -10.5 | 53.5 |
Oklahoma State ML · Model 76% · Book 77%
Oklahoma State off a byeOklahoma State +6 days restUCF travels 1060 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Oklahoma State -8.0OC Total 52.02.3 pts vs market
UCFPower ratingsOklahoma State
SP+Oklahoma State by 7.9
4.5
12.4
FPIOklahoma State by 7.5
3.0
10.5
Elo (pts)Oklahoma State by 2.4
-3.8
-1.4
COREOklahoma State by 12.5
-2.7
9.9
WEPAOklahoma State by 3.2
0.1
3.3
SRSOklahoma State by 7.6
6.0
13.6
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 0-2 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma State's side
- 2025 · Oklahoma State 14–17unpriced
- 2023 · Oklahoma State 3–45unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | UCF | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.439 | 0.540 |
| Explosiveness | 1.300 | 1 |
| Havoc | 0.127 | 0.122 |
| PPA | 0.179 | 0.223 |
| Field position | 72.400 | 66.800 |
Passing
- Keyone Jenkins · UCF30/42 · 265 yds · 8.9 aDOT
- Drew Mestemaker · Oklahoma State19/28 · 304 yds · 11.6 aDOT