No. 6 Oregon @ Oklahoma State
9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 82° · Wind 4 mph · Heavy Rain · 31–39 F
Our pick Oklahoma State +24.0Covered by 32.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +18.5 → now +24.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +24.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | +24.0 | 55.5 |
Oklahoma State ML · Model 15% · Book 8% · value Oklahoma State
Oregon travels 1472 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Oklahoma State +24.0OC Spread Oklahoma State +12.0OC Total 54.011.8 pts vs market
OregonPower ratingsOklahoma State
SP+Oregon by 4.6
17.0
12.4
FPIOregon by 6.9
17.4
10.5
Elo (pts)Oregon by 13.3
11.9
-1.4
COREOklahoma State by 1.7
8.2
9.9
WEPAOregon by 1.7
5.0
3.3
SRSOregon by 0.5
14.1
13.6
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 0-2 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma State's side
- 2025 · Oklahoma State 3–69unpriced
- 2008 · Oklahoma State 31–42unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Oregon | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.311 | 0.437 |
| Explosiveness | 1.650 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.115 | 0.148 |
| PPA | 0.153 | 0.036 |
| Field position | 65.900 | 67.600 |
Passing
- Drew Mestemaker · Oklahoma State26/45 · 317 yds · 7.2 aDOT
- Dante Moore · Oregon14/29 · 191 yds · 9.1 aDOT