Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
9/5/2026, 7:45:00 PM · ESPNU · 102° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 10–24 F
Our pick Tulsa +13.5Covered by 27.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.0 → now +13.5 · total 57.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +13.0 | 57.5 |
| DraftKings | +13.5 | 57.5 |
Tulsa ML · Model 18% · Book 19%
Oklahoma State off a byeTulsa off a bye
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Tulsa +13.5OC Spread Tulsa +12.0OC Total 58.01.1 pts vs market
Win probability
Oklahoma State 82%Tulsa 18%
Oklahoma StatePower ratingsTulsa
SP+Oklahoma State by 14.6
12.4
-2.2
FPIOklahoma State by 14.8
10.5
-4.2
Elo (pts)Oklahoma State by 6.6
-1.4
-8.0
COREOklahoma State by 8.9
9.9
1.0
WEPAOklahoma State by 1.0
3.3
2.3
SRSOklahoma State by 15.3
13.6
-1.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Tulsa's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oklahoma State | Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.364 | 0.414 |
| Explosiveness | 1.030 | 1.090 |
| Havoc | 0.121 | 0.102 |
| PPA | -0.071 | 0.186 |
| Field position | 79.200 | 64.100 |
Passing
- Drew Mestemaker · Oklahoma State29/50 · 241 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Baylor Hayes · Tulsa17/24 · 227 yds · 9.3 aDOT