Option Country
← Week 9 board

Southern Miss @ UL Monroe

10/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 80° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 35–21 F

Our pick Southern Miss -3.0Covered by 11.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.5 · total 55.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+3.554.5
Bovada+3.555.5

UL Monroe ML · Model 24% · Book 41% · value Southern Miss

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Southern Miss -3.0OC Spread UL Monroe +8.0OC Total 54.54.7 pts vs market
Southern MissPower ratingsUL Monroe
SP+Southern Miss by 8.2
-16.0
-24.2
FPISouthern Miss by 12.6
-13.0
-25.6
Elo (pts)Southern Miss by 7.8
-11.4
-19.2
CORESouthern Miss by 9.7
-11.1
-20.8
WEPASouthern Miss by 3.9
-10.5
-14.3
SRSSouthern Miss by 9.2
-14.0
-23.2

Game recap

MetricSouthern MissUL Monroe
Success rate0.3330.400
Explosiveness1.4301.040
Havoc0.1750.125
PPA0.072-0.045
Field position62.50074.900

Passing

  • Aidan Armenta · UL Monroe19/34 · 201 yds · 9.3 aDOT
  • Landy Lyddy · Southern Miss15/30 · 130 yds · 8.8 aDOT

Win probability