Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
10/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 80° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 35–21 F
Our pick Southern Miss -3.0Covered by 11.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.5 · total 55.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 | 54.5 |
| Bovada | +3.5 | 55.5 |
UL Monroe ML · Model 24% · Book 41% · value Southern Miss
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Southern Miss -3.0OC Spread UL Monroe +8.0OC Total 54.54.7 pts vs market
Southern MissPower ratingsUL Monroe
SP+Southern Miss by 8.2
-16.0
-24.2
FPISouthern Miss by 12.6
-13.0
-25.6
Elo (pts)Southern Miss by 7.8
-11.4
-19.2
CORESouthern Miss by 9.7
-11.1
-20.8
WEPASouthern Miss by 3.9
-10.5
-14.3
SRSSouthern Miss by 9.2
-14.0
-23.2
Game recap
| Metric | Southern Miss | UL Monroe |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.333 | 0.400 |
| Explosiveness | 1.430 | 1.040 |
| Havoc | 0.175 | 0.125 |
| PPA | 0.072 | -0.045 |
| Field position | 62.500 | 74.900 |
Passing
- Aidan Armenta · UL Monroe19/34 · 201 yds · 9.3 aDOT
- Landy Lyddy · Southern Miss15/30 · 130 yds · 8.8 aDOT
