UL Monroe @ Troy
10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 73° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 21–14 F
Our pick Troy -17.5Did not cover by 24.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -17.5 → now -13.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -13.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -13.5 | 50.5 |
Troy ML · Model 92% · Book 85% · value Troy
Ratings matchup
Our pick Troy -17.5OC Spread Troy -17.0OC Total 50.53.3 pts vs market
UL MonroePower ratingsTroy
SP+Troy by 14.3
-24.2
-9.9
FPITroy by 16.4
-25.6
-9.2
Elo (pts)Troy by 13.4
-19.2
-5.8
CORETroy by 11.2
-20.8
-9.6
WEPATroy by 9.2
-14.3
-5.1
SRSTroy by 9.5
-23.2
-13.7
Game recap
| Metric | UL Monroe | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.349 | 0.292 |
| Explosiveness | 1.040 | 0.900 |
| Havoc | 0.200 | 0.238 |
| PPA | -0.001 | -0.009 |
| Field position | 72.700 | 70.300 |
Passing
- Aidan Armenta · UL Monroe13/22 · 147 yds · 11.5 aDOT
- Will Crowder · Troy6/14 · 50 yds · 9.3 aDOT
- Austin Carlisle · UL Monroe4/9 · 2 yds · 4.1 aDOT
- Tucker Kilcrease · Troy2/3 · 8 yds · 2.3 aDOT