Southern Miss @ Troy
10/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPN2 · 69° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 34–55 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -9.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -9.5 | 51.5 |
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 51.5 |
Troy ML · Model 84% · Book 77% · value Troy
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Troy -11.5OC Total 56.52.1 pts vs market
Southern MissPower ratingsTroy
SP+Troy by 6.1
-16.0
-9.9
FPITroy by 3.8
-13.0
-9.2
Elo (pts)Troy by 5.6
-11.4
-5.8
CORETroy by 1.5
-11.1
-9.6
WEPATroy by 5.3
-10.5
-5.1
SRSTroy by 0.3
-14.0
-13.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Troy's side
Game recap
| Metric | Southern Miss | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.493 | 0.593 |
| Explosiveness | 1.430 | 1.150 |
| Havoc | 0.062 | 0.104 |
| PPA | 0.177 | 0.501 |
| Field position | 73.300 | 72.300 |
Passing
- Landy Lyddy · Southern Miss24/37 · 316 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- Will Crowder · Troy18/21 · 225 yds · 4.9 aDOT
- Mario Sanders II · Southern Miss1/1 · 75 yds · 25.0 aDOT
- Eelijah Singleton · Southern Miss0/1 · 0 yds · 14.0 aDOT