UL Monroe @ South Alabama
10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 77° · Wind 3 mph · Rain · 35–52 F
Our pick South Alabama -14.5Covered by 2.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.5 → now -13.5 · total 57.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5 | 57.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 56.5 |
South Alabama ML · Model 93% · Book 82% · value South Alabama
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick South Alabama -14.5OC Spread South Alabama -18.0OC Total 59.54.6 pts vs market
UL MonroePower ratingsSouth Alabama
SP+South Alabama by 12.7
-24.2
-11.5
FPISouth Alabama by 15.9
-25.6
-9.7
Elo (pts)South Alabama by 12.4
-19.2
-6.8
CORESouth Alabama by 10.8
-20.8
-10.0
WEPASouth Alabama by 8.9
-14.3
-5.4
SRSSouth Alabama by 14.7
-23.2
-8.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from South Alabama's side
- 2025 · South Alabama 26–14unpriced
- 2024 · South Alabama 46–17unpriced
- 2023 · South Alabama 55–7unpriced
- 2022 · South Alabama 41–34unpriced
- 2021 · South Alabama 31–41unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | UL Monroe | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.476 | 0.522 |
| Explosiveness | 1.360 | 1.400 |
| Havoc | 0.075 | 0.206 |
| PPA | 0.226 | 0.505 |
| Field position | 72.200 | 67.900 |
Passing
- Aidan Armenta · UL Monroe26/41 · 362 yds · 6.2 aDOT
- Jared Hollins · South Alabama14/19 · 321 yds · 13.8 aDOT