Option Country
← Week 8 board

New Mexico State @ Sam Houston

10/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPN2 · 69° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 30–24 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +2.5 → now +3.0 · total 46.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+3.046.5
Bovada+3.046.5

Sam Houston ML · Model 43% · Book 42%

New Mexico State off a byeNew Mexico State +7 days restNew Mexico State travels 668 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Sam Houston +2.0OC Total 46.50.9 pts vs market
New Mexico StatePower ratingsSam Houston
SP+New Mexico State by 4.6
-13.4
-18.0
FPINew Mexico State by 3.7
-15.6
-19.3
Elo (pts)New Mexico State by 5.7
-11.8
-17.5
CORENew Mexico State by 6.7
-13.8
-20.4
WEPANew Mexico State by 4.0
-9.0
-13.0
SRSNew Mexico State by 0.7
-16.0
-16.7

Game recap

MetricNew Mexico StateSam Houston
Success rate0.4030.273
Explosiveness0.9802.050
Havoc0.2360.125
PPA-0.104-0.059
Field position65.90067.800

Passing

  • Landyn Locke · Sam Houston18/31 · 245 yds · 5.4 aDOT
  • Adam Damante · New Mexico State19/29 · 160 yds · 7.1 aDOT
  • DJ Bailey · Sam Houston0/2 · 0 yds · 10.5 aDOT

Win probability