Missouri State @ Delaware
10/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 56° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 38–61 F
Our pick Delaware -3.0Covered by 20.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -3.0 → now -3.0 · total 54.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 54.5 |
| Bovada | -3.0 | 54.0 |
Delaware ML · Model 77% · Book 59% · value Delaware
Missouri State travels 962 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Delaware -3.0OC Spread Delaware -8.5OC Total 56.05.4 pts vs market
Missouri StatePower ratingsDelaware
SP+Delaware by 5.2
-16.9
-11.7
FPIDelaware by 5.6
-14.8
-9.2
Elo (pts)Delaware by 6.6
-10.9
-4.3
COREDelaware by 10.9
-19.4
-8.5
WEPADelaware by 7.8
-13.5
-5.6
SRSDelaware by 5.7
-14.0
-8.3
Game recap
| Metric | Missouri State | Delaware |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.571 | 0.540 |
| Explosiveness | 1.270 | 1.610 |
| Havoc | 0.095 | 0.163 |
| PPA | 0.195 | 0.604 |
| Field position | 73.900 | 54.700 |
Passing
- Henry Belin IV · Missouri State26/35 · 337 yds · 9.1 aDOT
- Nick Minicucci · Delaware20/29 · 225 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Tyler Bell · Delaware2/4 · 25 yds · 6.8 aDOT
- Connor Lair · Missouri State1/1 · 9 yds · -3.0 aDOT