Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State
10/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPN2 · 73° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 24–0 F
Our pick Jacksonville State -3.0Covered by 21.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +3.0 | 50.0 |
| DraftKings | +3.0 | 50.5 |
New Mexico State ML · Model 27% · Book 42% · value Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State off a byeJacksonville State +8 days restJacksonville State travels 1217 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Jacksonville State -3.0OC Spread New Mexico State +7.0OC Total 50.53.9 pts vs market
Jacksonville StatePower ratingsNew Mexico State
SP+Jacksonville State by 10.8
-2.6
-13.4
FPIJacksonville State by 8.8
-6.8
-15.6
Elo (pts)Jacksonville State by 10.7
-1.1
-11.8
COREJacksonville State by 12.5
-1.3
-13.8
WEPAJacksonville State by 9.6
0.7
-9.0
SRSJacksonville State by 11.0
-5.0
-16.0
Game recap
| Metric | Jacksonville State | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.500 | 0.353 |
| Explosiveness | 1.370 | 0.960 |
| Havoc | 0.137 | 0.172 |
| PPA | 0.206 | -0.041 |
| Field position | 66.300 | 72.300 |
Passing
- Adam Damante · New Mexico State6/19 · 29 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Caden Creel · Jacksonville State11/17 · 109 yds · 8.7 aDOT
- Terrell Washington Jr. · New Mexico State0/1 · 0 yds · 24.0 aDOT