Option Country
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Liberty @ Kennesaw State

10/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 66° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 34–6 F

Our pick Liberty -8.5Covered by 19.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +8.5 → now +8.5 · total 50.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+8.550.5
DraftKings+8.550.5

Kennesaw State ML · Model 10% · Book 23% · value Liberty

Liberty off a byeLiberty +7 days rest

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Liberty -8.5OC Spread Kennesaw State +16.0OC Total 49.07.3 pts vs market
LibertyPower ratingsKennesaw State
SP+Liberty by 21.3
7.5
-13.8
FPILiberty by 17.2
5.0
-12.2
Elo (pts)Liberty by 21.6
13.4
-8.3
CORELiberty by 29.7
19.2
-10.5
WEPALiberty by 16.6
12.4
-4.2
SRSLiberty by 17.2
7.0
-10.2

Game recap

MetricLibertyKennesaw State
Success rate0.3920.358
Explosiveness1.3600.940
Havoc0.1700.118
PPA0.263-0.205
Field position63.70080.400

Passing

  • Rickie Collins · Kennesaw State15/26 · 124 yds · 7.3 aDOT
  • Deshawn Purdie · Liberty10/19 · 176 yds · 10.4 aDOT
  • Landon Varnes · Kennesaw State9/15 · 111 yds · 7.8 aDOT
  • Jaylen Henderson · Liberty2/2 · 11 yds · 3.0 aDOT

Win probability