Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State
10/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM · CBSSN · 73° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 13–34 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -1.5 · total 56.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -1.5 | 56.0 |
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 55.5 |
New Mexico State ML · Model 65% · Book 53% · value New Mexico State
Western Kentucky travels 1195 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread New Mexico State -4.5OC Total 55.52.9 pts vs market
Western KentuckyPower ratingsNew Mexico State
SP+Western Kentucky by 1.9
-11.5
-13.4
FPIWestern Kentucky by 1.7
-13.9
-15.6
Elo (pts)Western Kentucky by 1.6
-10.1
-11.8
CORENew Mexico State by 4.8
-18.6
-13.8
WEPANew Mexico State by 2.5
-11.4
-9.0
SRSWestern Kentucky by 1.9
-14.1
-16.0
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from New Mexico State's side
- 2025 · New Mexico State 16–35unpriced
- 2024 · New Mexico State 28–41unpriced
- 2023 · New Mexico State 38–29unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Western Kentucky | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.333 | 0.355 |
| Explosiveness | 1.220 | 1.630 |
| Havoc | 0.129 | 0.173 |
| PPA | -0.208 | -0.010 |
| Field position | 80.700 | 64.400 |
Passing
- Rodney Tisdale Jr. · Western Kentucky29/41 · 314 yds · 6.5 aDOT
- Adam Damante · New Mexico State15/26 · 146 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Brock Glenn · Western Kentucky0/2 · 0 yds · 6.0 aDOT