Sam Houston @ Liberty
10/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 69° · Wind 2 mph · Clear · 3–35 F
Our pick Liberty -13.5Covered by 18.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -13.5 · total 53.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -13.5 | 52.5 |
| Bovada | -13.5 | 53.0 |
Liberty ML · Model 95% · Book 82% · value Liberty
Sam Houston +6 days restSam Houston travels 1041 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Liberty -13.5OC Spread Liberty -21.0OC Total 50.57.7 pts vs market
Sam HoustonPower ratingsLiberty
SP+Liberty by 25.5
-18.0
7.5
FPILiberty by 24.3
-19.3
5.0
Elo (pts)Liberty by 30.8
-17.5
13.4
CORELiberty by 39.7
-20.4
19.2
WEPALiberty by 25.4
-13.0
12.4
SRSLiberty by 23.7
-16.7
7.0
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from Liberty's side
Game recap
| Metric | Sam Houston | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.318 | 0.628 |
| Explosiveness | 1.080 | 1.050 |
| Havoc | 0.116 | 0.250 |
| PPA | -0.204 | 0.466 |
| Field position | 78.700 | 71 |
Passing
- Landyn Locke · Sam Houston20/30 · 138 yds · 5.4 aDOT
- Deshawn Purdie · Liberty10/14 · 114 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Ethan Vasko · Liberty1/1 · 12 yds · 12.0 aDOT