Sam Houston @ Troy

9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 83° · Wind 3 mph · Cloudy · 21–24 F

Our pick Sam Houston +16.0Covered by 13.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -17.0 → now -16.0 · total 53.0

Book	Spread	Total
Bovada	-16.5	53.0
DraftKings	-15.5	52.5

Troy ML · Model 88% · Book 87%

Sam Houston off a byeTroy off a byeSam Houston +18 days restSam Houston travels 571 mi

OC Model projected score

Our pick Sam Houston +16.0OC Spread Troy -10.0OC Total 46.56.3 pts vs market

Win probability

Sam Houston 12%Troy 88%

Sam HoustonPower ratingsTroy

SP+Troy by 8.1

-18.0

-9.9

FPITroy by 10.1

-19.3

-9.2

Elo (pts)Troy by 11.6

-17.5

-5.8

CORETroy by 10.9

-20.4

-9.6

WEPATroy by 7.9

-13.0

-5.1

SRSTroy by 3.0

-16.7

-13.7