Option Country
← Week 9 board

Troy @ James Madison

10/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 56° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 24–21 F

Our pick James Madison -17.5Did not cover by 20.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -17.5 → now -17.5 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-17.552.5
Bovada-17.552.0

James Madison ML · Model 94% · Book 88% · value James Madison

Troy travels 608 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick James Madison -17.5OC Spread James Madison -18.5OC Total 51.01.1 pts vs market
TroyPower ratingsJames Madison
SP+James Madison by 20.8
-9.9
10.9
FPIJames Madison by 12.9
-9.2
3.7
Elo (pts)James Madison by 16.9
-5.8
11.1
COREJames Madison by 17.4
-9.6
7.8
WEPAJames Madison by 10.8
-5.1
5.7
SRSJames Madison by 18.2
-13.7
4.5

Game recap

MetricTroyJames Madison
Success rate0.3120.351
Explosiveness1.1301.310
Havoc0.1820.156
PPA-0.244-0.181
Field position70.90068.100

Passing

  • Tucker Kilcrease · Troy15/31 · 194 yds · 10.6 aDOT
  • Camden Coleman · James Madison14/25 · 132 yds · 10.7 aDOT
  • JC Evans · James Madison8/10 · 58 yds · 5.9 aDOT

Win probability