Troy @ James Madison
10/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 56° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 24–21 F
Our pick James Madison -17.5Did not cover by 20.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -17.5 → now -17.5 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -17.5 | 52.5 |
| Bovada | -17.5 | 52.0 |
James Madison ML · Model 94% · Book 88% · value James Madison
Troy travels 608 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick James Madison -17.5OC Spread James Madison -18.5OC Total 51.01.1 pts vs market
TroyPower ratingsJames Madison
SP+James Madison by 20.8
-9.9
10.9
FPIJames Madison by 12.9
-9.2
3.7
Elo (pts)James Madison by 16.9
-5.8
11.1
COREJames Madison by 17.4
-9.6
7.8
WEPAJames Madison by 10.8
-5.1
5.7
SRSJames Madison by 18.2
-13.7
4.5
Game recap
| Metric | Troy | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.312 | 0.351 |
| Explosiveness | 1.130 | 1.310 |
| Havoc | 0.182 | 0.156 |
| PPA | -0.244 | -0.181 |
| Field position | 70.900 | 68.100 |
Passing
- Tucker Kilcrease · Troy15/31 · 194 yds · 10.6 aDOT
- Camden Coleman · James Madison14/25 · 132 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- JC Evans · James Madison8/10 · 58 yds · 5.9 aDOT
