Liberty @ James Madison
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 70° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 13–20 F
Our pick James Madison -6.0Covered by 1.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -6.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.0 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -6.0 | 50.5 |
| Draft Kings | -6.0 | 50.5 |
James Madison ML · Model 67% · Book 68%
Liberty off a byeJames Madison off a byeLiberty +21 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick James Madison -6.0OC Spread James Madison -11.0OC Total 53.55.0 pts vs market
Win probability
Liberty 33%James Madison 67%
LibertyPower ratingsJames Madison
SP+James Madison by 11.1
-7.1
4.0
FPIJames Madison by 9.3
-9.2
0.1
Elo (pts)James Madison by 3.2
7.9
11.0
COREJames Madison by 6.5
-3.7
2.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from James Madison's side
- 2025 · James Madison 31–13unpriced
- 2014 · James Madison 21–26unpriced
- 2011 · James Madison 27–24unpriced
- 2010 · James Madison 10–3unpriced
- 2009 · James Madison 24–10unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Liberty | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.377 | 0.380 |
| Explosiveness | 1.180 | 1.250 |
| Havoc | 0.140 | 0.130 |
| PPA | 0.028 | 0.280 |
| Field position | 72 | 72.300 |
Passing
- Deshawn Purdie · Liberty17/28 · 230 yds · 10.3 aDOT
- Camden Coleman · James Madison5/9 · 57 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- JC Evans · James Madison7/9 · 61 yds · 5.7 aDOT