Liberty @ James Madison
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 70° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 13–20 F
Our pick James Madison -6.0Covered by 1.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -6.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -6.0 | 50.5 |
| DraftKings | -6.0 | 50.5 |
James Madison ML · Model 67% · Book 68%
Liberty off a byeJames Madison off a byeLiberty +21 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick James Madison -6.0OC Spread James Madison -5.5OC Total 52.00.3 pts vs market
Win probability
Liberty 33%James Madison 67%
LibertyPower ratingsJames Madison
SP+James Madison by 3.4
7.5
10.9
FPILiberty by 1.3
5.0
3.7
Elo (pts)Liberty by 2.3
13.4
11.1
CORELiberty by 11.5
19.2
7.8
WEPALiberty by 6.8
12.4
5.7
SRSLiberty by 2.5
7.0
4.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from James Madison's side
- 2025 · James Madison 31–13unpriced
- 2014 · James Madison 21–26unpriced
- 2011 · James Madison 27–24unpriced
- 2010 · James Madison 10–3unpriced
- 2009 · James Madison 24–10unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Liberty | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.377 | 0.380 |
| Explosiveness | 1.180 | 1.250 |
| Havoc | 0.140 | 0.130 |
| PPA | 0.028 | 0.280 |
| Field position | 72 | 72.300 |
Passing
- Deshawn Purdie · Liberty17/28 · 230 yds · 10.3 aDOT
- Camden Coleman · James Madison5/9 · 57 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- JC Evans · James Madison7/9 · 61 yds · 5.7 aDOT