Georgia State @ James Madison
10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 53° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 22–49 F
Our pick James Madison -10.0Covered by 17.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -12.5 → now -8.0 · total 57.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.5 | 57.5 |
| Bovada | -8.0 | 57.5 |
James Madison ML · Model 91% · Book 77% · value James Madison
Georgia State off a byeGeorgia State +7 days restGeorgia State travels 447 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick James Madison -10.0OC Spread James Madison -16.0OC Total 56.58.3 pts vs market
Georgia StatePower ratingsJames Madison
SP+James Madison by 20.1
-9.2
10.9
FPIJames Madison by 12.9
-9.2
3.7
Elo (pts)James Madison by 17.7
-6.6
11.1
COREJames Madison by 9.7
-1.9
7.8
WEPAJames Madison by 4.4
1.3
5.7
SRSJames Madison by 10.0
-5.5
4.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from James Madison's side
- 2025 · James Madison 14–7unpriced
- 2024 · James Madison 38–7unpriced
- 2023 · James Madison 42–14unpriced
- 2022 · James Madison 42–40unpriced
- 2012 · James Madison 28–21unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Georgia State | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.474 | 0.475 |
| Explosiveness | 1.060 | 1.330 |
| Havoc | 0.115 | 0.175 |
| PPA | 0.126 | 0.357 |
| Field position | 77.900 | 57.400 |
Passing
- Cameran Brown · Georgia State13/25 · 134 yds · 6.7 aDOT
- Camden Coleman · James Madison13/19 · 185 yds · 10.8 aDOT
- JC Evans · James Madison4/8 · 80 yds · 12.5 aDOT
- Ayden Pereira · Georgia State3/4 · 51 yds · 12.8 aDOT