Old Dominion @ Georgia State
10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 77° · Wind 0 mph · Light Rain · 10–42 F
Our pick Georgia State -2.0Covered by 30.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +1.5 → now -2.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -2.5 | 51.5 |
Georgia State ML · Model 75% · Book 92% · value Old Dominion
Old Dominion travels 505 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Georgia State -2.0OC Spread Georgia State -7.5OC Total 52.55.7 pts vs market
Old DominionPower ratingsGeorgia State
SP+Georgia State by 5.5
-14.7
-9.2
FPIGeorgia State by 7.2
-16.4
-9.2
Elo (pts)Georgia State by 7.0
-13.6
-6.6
COREGeorgia State by 12.3
-14.3
-1.9
WEPAGeorgia State by 11.4
-10.2
1.3
SRSGeorgia State by 14.1
-19.6
-5.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Georgia State's side
- 2025 · Georgia State 10–27unpriced
- 2024 · Georgia State 14–21unpriced
- 2023 · Georgia State 24–25unpriced
- 2022 · Georgia State 31–17unpriced
- 2012 · Georgia State 27–53unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Old Dominion | Georgia State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.255 | 0.571 |
| Explosiveness | 1.170 | 1.240 |
| Havoc | 0.257 | 0.404 |
| PPA | -0.237 | 0.355 |
| Field position | 72.300 | 69.700 |
Passing
- Cameran Brown · Georgia State14/20 · 284 yds · 9.0 aDOT
- Quinn Henicle · Old Dominion8/15 · 49 yds · 9.0 aDOT
- Ryan Huff · Old Dominion3/8 · 18 yds · 6.0 aDOT
- Jaxon Potter · Old Dominion2/5 · 12 yds · 4.8 aDOT