Georgia State @ Kennesaw State
9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 80° · Wind 5 mph · Rain Shower · 31–17 F
Our pick Kennesaw State -8.5Did not cover by 22.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -7.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.0 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -7.5 | 55.5 |
| Draft Kings | -7.5 | 55.5 |
Kennesaw State ML · Model 70% · Book 73%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Kennesaw State -8.5OC Spread Kennesaw State -6.0OC Total 55.01.4 pts vs market
Georgia StatePower ratingsKennesaw State
SP+Kennesaw State by 10.9
-21.6
-10.7
FPIGeorgia State by 1.6
-9.1
-10.7
Elo (pts)Kennesaw State by 1.6
-8.5
-6.9
COREGeorgia State by 3.2
-3.4
-6.5
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from Kennesaw State's side
- 2018 · Kennesaw State 20–24unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Georgia State | Kennesaw State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.500 | 0.397 |
| Explosiveness | 1.150 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.138 | 0.057 |
| PPA | 0.299 | 0.166 |
| Field position | 66.900 | 78 |
Passing
- Rickie Collins · Kennesaw State22/35 · 260 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Cameran Brown · Georgia State16/23 · 253 yds · 8.9 aDOT
- Ayden Pereira · Georgia State2/2 · 14 yds · 2.5 aDOT