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← Week 6 board

James Madison @ Georgia Southern

10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPNU · 77° · Wind 3 mph · Heavy Rain · 27–24 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +9.5 → now +7.0 · total 51.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+7.051.5
Bovada+7.051.5

Georgia Southern ML · Model 21% · Book 27% · value James Madison

James Madison travels 447 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Georgia Southern +9.0OC Total 54.52.1 pts vs market
James MadisonPower ratingsGeorgia Southern
SP+James Madison by 15.7
10.9
-4.8
FPIJames Madison by 7.3
3.7
-3.6
Elo (pts)James Madison by 15.0
11.1
-3.9
COREJames Madison by 5.6
7.8
2.1
WEPAJames Madison by 3.2
5.7
2.5
SRSJames Madison by 6.7
4.5
-2.2

Head-to-head

Last 4: SU 2-2 · ATS 0-0 from Georgia Southern's side

Game recap

MetricJames MadisonGeorgia Southern
Success rate0.4100.478
Explosiveness1.3101.290
Havoc0.1490.115
PPA0.1150.173
Field position73.40074.700

Passing

  • Max Johnson · Georgia Southern26/38 · 343 yds · 6.8 aDOT
  • Camden Coleman · James Madison16/27 · 171 yds · 8.9 aDOT
  • JC Evans · James Madison2/2 · 58 yds · 11.5 aDOT
  • Taeo Todd · Georgia Southern0/1 · 0 yds · 15.0 aDOT

Win probability