Option Country
← Week 4 board

Liberty @ Coastal Carolina

9/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 61° · Wind 3 mph · Light Rain · 34–17 F

Our pick Liberty -2.5Covered by 14.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -1.5 → now +2.5 · total 50.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+2.550.5
DraftKings+2.550.5

Coastal Carolina ML · Model 23% · Book 44% · value Liberty

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Liberty -2.5OC Spread Coastal Carolina +8.5OC Total 54.56.1 pts vs market
LibertyPower ratingsCoastal Carolina
SP+Liberty by 17.8
7.5
-10.3
FPILiberty by 15.2
5.0
-10.2
Elo (pts)Liberty by 21.0
13.4
-7.6
CORELiberty by 27.7
19.2
-8.5
WEPALiberty by 15.7
12.4
-3.2
SRSLiberty by 14.3
7.0
-7.3

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Coastal Carolina's side

Game recap

MetricLibertyCoastal Carolina
Success rate0.5230.266
Explosiveness1.1102
Havoc0.1410.123
PPA0.393-0.071
Field position67.30070.800

Passing

  • Deuce Bailey · Coastal Carolina17/36 · 213 yds · 10.7 aDOT
  • Deshawn Purdie · Liberty11/16 · 216 yds · 13.4 aDOT
  • Ethan Vasko · Liberty1/1 · 6 yds · 1.0 aDOT
  • Kam Davis · Liberty0/1 · 0 yds · 11.0 aDOT

Win probability