Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State
9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 75° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 14–17 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -5.5 → now -6.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.5 | 53.5 |
| Bovada | -6.5 | 53.0 |
Arkansas State ML · Model 65% · Book 65%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Arkansas State -4.5OC Total 53.52.2 pts vs market
Kennesaw StatePower ratingsArkansas State
SP+Arkansas State by 6.8
-13.8
-7.0
FPIArkansas State by 3.6
-12.2
-8.6
Elo (pts)Arkansas State by 1.5
-8.3
-6.8
COREArkansas State by 3.5
-10.5
-6.9
WEPAArkansas State by 2.0
-4.2
-2.2
SRSArkansas State by 2.4
-10.2
-7.8
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from Arkansas State's side
- 2025 · Arkansas State 21–28unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Kennesaw State | Arkansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.470 | 0.475 |
| Explosiveness | 0.930 | 1.110 |
| Havoc | 0.148 | 0.121 |
| PPA | 0.065 | 0.242 |
| Field position | 78.600 | 68.800 |
Passing
- Trey Owens · Arkansas State24/31 · 259 yds · 7.1 aDOT
- Rickie Collins · Kennesaw State17/25 · 129 yds · 5.6 aDOT